Sport Picks

Croatia

3. HNL North

NK Koprivnica

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rudar Mursko Sredisce play NK Koprivnica in the 3. HNL North. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rudar Mursko Sredisce averaged 1.34 goals scored and 2.62 conceded. NK Koprivnica averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. In past meetings, Rudar Mursko Sredisce won 2, NK Koprivnica won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 23, 2022 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.91 for Rudar Mursko Sredisce and 1.84 for NK Koprivnica. This points to a NK Koprivnica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Rudar Mursko Sredisce

24%

Draws

39%

NK Koprivnica

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: NK Koprivnica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Rudar Mursko Sredisce picked up more points recently compared to NK Koprivnica.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.91 vs 1.84 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 90%

Over 2.5 Goals 62%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Rudar Mursko Sredisce Clean Sheet 10%

NK Koprivnica Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 81%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rudar Mursko Sredisce	NK Koprivnica
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	6	7
Draws	6	8
Losses	17	15
Goals Scored	1.34	1.17
Goals Conceded	2.62	2.1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.57	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.43	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 3. HNL North

NK Koprivnica vs Rudar Mursko Sredisce

Possession: 50% - 45% Cards: 1 - 3

4:2

Mar 26, 2022 3. HNL North

Rudar Mursko Sredisce vs NK Koprivnica

Possession: 48% - 53% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Oct 9, 2021 3. HNL North

NK Koprivnica vs Rudar Mursko Sredisce

Possession: 42% - 53% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Sep 9, 2020 Croatian Cup

Rudar Mursko Sredisce vs NK Koprivnica

Possession: 41% - 60% Cards: 2 - 1

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rudar Mursko Sredisce 35 / 100

NK Koprivnica 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rudar Mursko Sredisce NK Koprivnica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: NK Koprivnica or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.79

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rudar Mursko Sredisce attacking → ← attacking NK Koprivnica

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rudar Mursko Sredisce scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

NK Koprivnica let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Rudar Mursko Sredisce went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

NK Koprivnica lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 29

1.57 Goals expected (xG) 2.25

1.43 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	NK Polet	22	17	0	5	61:17	51
2	Mladost Zdralovi	22	15	5	2	45:15	50
3	Bjelovar	22	14	3	5	53:26	45
4	Radnik Krizevci	22	14	2	6	57:25	44
5	Medjimurje	22	12	3	7	40:33	39
6	Podravina Ludbreg	22	8	7	7	35:41	31
7	Papuk Orahovica	22	7	4	11	32:43	25
8	Varteks Varazdin (2011)	22	6	4	12	20:39	22
9	NK Koprivnica	22	3	8	11	24:43	17
10	Virovitica	22	5	2	15	25:52	17
11	Podravac Virje	22	4	4	14	23:50	16
12	Rudar Mursko Sredisce	22	4	4	14	25:56	16