Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rudar vs Krsko Posavje

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026 Mestni stadion ob jezeru, Velenje
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Satchwell S.
81' Event
Simic D.
88' Event
Perkovic J.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL 2025/2026 game between Rudar and Krsko Posavje finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rudar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Rudar
15%
Draws
26%
Krsko Posavje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rudar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Krsko Posavje haven't matched Rudar's recent run of results.
  • Rudar are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Rudar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Rudar Clean Sheet 18%
Krsko Posavje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rudar Krsko Posavje
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.79 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 2. SNL
Rudar vs Krsko Posavje
3:0
Nov 4, 2025 2. SNL
Krsko Posavje vs Rudar
0:2
Sep 25, 2024 Slovenian Cup
Krsko Posavje vs Rudar
1:3
May 4, 2023 2. SNL
Krsko Posavje vs Rudar
2:1
Oct 22, 2022 2. SNL
Rudar vs Krsko Posavje
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rudar Compare

Top Goalscorer Satchwell S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Krsko Posavje Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rudar 49 / 100
Krsko Posavje 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rudar Krsko Posavje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rudar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krsko Posavje let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Rudar scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Rudar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rudar VS Krsko Posavje
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rudar

(Home)
04 Oct
Bistrica
3 : 1
Rudar
28 Sept
Rudar
3 : 1
Dravinja
19 Sept
NK Brezice
3 : 4
Rudar
13 Sept
Rudar
2 : 0
Triglav
04 Sept
Vrhnika
4 : 2
Rudar
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Krsko Posavje

(Away)
03 Oct
Vrhnika
0 : 0
Krsko Posavje
27 Sept
Krsko Posavje
3 : 1
Bilje
19 Sept
Ilirija
2 : 0
Krsko Posavje
12 Sept
Krsko Posavje
0 : 1
NK Krka
05 Sept
Beltinci
3 : 2
Krsko Posavje
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)