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Rudes vs Lok. Zagreb

Croatia Croatia

HNL SC Rudes
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rudes host Lok. Zagreb in the HNL. This one's hard to separate. Rudes have averaged 2.5 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Lok. Zagreb's 1 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Rudes have won 0 to Lok. Zagreb's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on May 18, 2024, ending 3:3. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.13, favoring Rudes. Rudes in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Rudes
33%
Draws
27%
Lok. Zagreb
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Rudes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Rudes have won more games recently than Lok. Zagreb.
  • Model gives Rudes a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular HNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Rudes Clean Sheet 20%
Lok. Zagreb Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rudes Lok. Zagreb
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 HNL
Rudes vs Lok. Zagreb
3:3
Mar 9, 2024 HNL
Lok. Zagreb vs Rudes
3:0
Dec 3, 2023 HNL
Rudes vs Lok. Zagreb
0:0
Sep 15, 2023 HNL
Lok. Zagreb vs Rudes
1:0
Jul 23, 2019 Club Friendly
Rudes vs Lok. Zagreb
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rudes 40 / 100
Lok. Zagreb 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rudes Lok. Zagreb

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RUD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rudes scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Lok. Zagreb conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Rudes stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rudes VS Lok. Zagreb
2.5 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Din. Zagreb00000:00
2Hajduk Split00000:00
3Osijek00000:00
4Rijeka00000:00
5Slaven Belupo00000:00
6Varazdin00000:00
7Istra 196100000:00
8Lok. Zagreb00000:00
9Rudes00000:00
10HNK Gorica00000:00