Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rugenbergen vs Altona

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Przondziono G.
68' Event
El-Nemr B.
70' Event
El-Nemr B.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 game between Rugenbergen and Altona finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Altona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Rugenbergen
35%
Draws
45%
Altona
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Altona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Altona carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Altona a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Altona here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Rugenbergen Clean Sheet 20%
Altona Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rugenbergen Altona
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 8 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.33 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.43 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Rugenbergen vs Altona
0:3
Oct 11, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Altona vs Rugenbergen
2:0
Apr 6, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Altona vs Rugenbergen
4:1
Oct 16, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
Rugenbergen vs Altona
1:4
Jul 4, 2019 Club Friendly
Altona vs Rugenbergen
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rugenbergen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.67
Avg xA / game 1.08

Altona Compare

Top Goalscorer El-Nemr B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Przondziono G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rugenbergen 10 / 100
Altona 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rugenbergen Altona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Altona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altona has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Rugenbergen scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Rugenbergen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Altona
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 3.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Rugenbergen

(Home)
17 May
Rugenbergen
1 : 1
HEBC Hamburg
11 May
Sasel
3 : 3
Rugenbergen
26 Apr
SC Victoria Hamburg
5 : 0
Rugenbergen
21 Apr
Rugenbergen
3 : 0
Tornesch
14 Apr
Rugenbergen
0 : 3
Altona
Page 1 of 6

Altona

(Away)
26 Sept
Altona
1 : 1
Harksheide
19 Sept
Altona
2 : 0
HEBC Hamburg
13 Sept
TSV Buchholz 08
5 : 5
Altona
28 Aug
TSV Concordia
3 : 4
Altona
22 Aug
Altona
6 : 1
Teutonia Ottensen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altona 34 25 7 2 91:29 82
2 Dassendorf 34 24 5 5 96:36 77
3 ETSV Hamburg 34 18 9 7 74:43 63
4 Niendorfer TSV 34 18 8 8 86:51 62
5 HEBC Hamburg 34 16 11 7 75:52 59
6 Sasel 34 16 8 10 76:54 56
7 Paloma 34 14 8 12 58:56 50
8 SC Victoria Hamburg 34 14 7 13 79:67 49
9 Suderelbe 34 13 9 12 85:61 48
10 TSV Buchholz 08 34 13 7 14 65:65 46
11 Harksheide 34 12 10 12 61:63 46
12 Halstenbek-Rellingen 34 11 9 14 70:70 42
13 TSV Concordia 34 11 6 17 71:91 39
14 Alsterbruder 34 10 4 20 70:91 34
15 Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 34 9 5 20 57:82 32
16 Rugenbergen 34 9 3 22 46:84 30
17 Tornesch 34 6 6 22 43:106 24
18 Duneberg 34 5 2 27 39:141 17
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 (Play Offs)