Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rugenbergen vs Duneberg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Haase P.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 game between Rugenbergen and Duneberg finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rugenbergen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Rugenbergen
30%
Draws
12%
Duneberg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rugenbergen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rugenbergen come out ahead of Duneberg on wins alone.
  • Rugenbergen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Rugenbergen Clean Sheet 11%
Duneberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rugenbergen Duneberg
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 3 1
Losses 19 24
Goals Scored 1.33 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.43 4.2
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Rugenbergen vs Duneberg
1:0
Sep 2, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Duneberg vs Rugenbergen
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rugenbergen Compare

Top Goalscorer Haase P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.6
Avg xA / game 1.69

Duneberg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rugenbergen 83 / 100
Duneberg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rugenbergen Duneberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RUG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Duneberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Rugenbergen's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Rugenbergen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rugenbergen VS Duneberg
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 5.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Rugenbergen

(Home)
17 May
Rugenbergen
1 : 1
HEBC Hamburg
11 May
Sasel
3 : 3
Rugenbergen
26 Apr
SC Victoria Hamburg
5 : 0
Rugenbergen
21 Apr
Rugenbergen
3 : 0
Tornesch
14 Apr
Rugenbergen
0 : 3
Altona
Page 1 of 6

Duneberg

(Away)
17 May
ETSV Hamburg
7 : 1
Duneberg
11 May
Duneberg
0 : 9
Niendorfer TSV
26 Apr
Dassendorf
4 : 0
Duneberg
20 Apr
Duneberg
1 : 6
Harksheide
16 Apr
Duneberg
2 : 2
Suderelbe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altona 34 25 7 2 91:29 82
2 Dassendorf 34 24 5 5 96:36 77
3 ETSV Hamburg 34 18 9 7 74:43 63
4 Niendorfer TSV 34 18 8 8 86:51 62
5 HEBC Hamburg 34 16 11 7 75:52 59
6 Sasel 34 16 8 10 76:54 56
7 Paloma 34 14 8 12 58:56 50
8 SC Victoria Hamburg 34 14 7 13 79:67 49
9 Suderelbe 34 13 9 12 85:61 48
10 TSV Buchholz 08 34 13 7 14 65:65 46
11 Harksheide 34 12 10 12 61:63 46
12 Halstenbek-Rellingen 34 11 9 14 70:70 42
13 TSV Concordia 34 11 6 17 71:91 39
14 Alsterbruder 34 10 4 20 70:91 34
15 Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 34 9 5 20 57:82 32
16 Rugenbergen 34 9 3 22 46:84 30
17 Tornesch 34 6 6 22 43:106 24
18 Duneberg 34 5 2 27 39:141 17
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 (Play Offs)