Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rugenbergen vs Paloma

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Blunck M.
54' Event
Schrage J.
71' Event
Guvenir T.

AI Match Summary

Rugenbergen in this Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rugenbergen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Rugenbergen
20%
Draws
51%
Paloma
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paloma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paloma lately — more wins on the board than Rugenbergen.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Paloma taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Rugenbergen Clean Sheet 14%
Paloma Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rugenbergen Paloma
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 16
Draws 3 5
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.33 2.26
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Rugenbergen vs Paloma
3:1
Sep 12, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Paloma vs Rugenbergen
2:1
Apr 25, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Rugenbergen vs Paloma
1:1
Jul 31, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
Paloma vs Rugenbergen
2:1
Oct 11, 2020 Oberliga Hamburg
Rugenbergen vs Paloma
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rugenbergen Compare

Top Goalscorer Schrage J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guvenir T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Paloma Compare

Top Goalscorer Blunck M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rugenbergen 10 / 100
Paloma 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rugenbergen Paloma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paloma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paloma let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Rugenbergen's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Rugenbergen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Paloma
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rugenbergen

(Home)
17 May
Rugenbergen
1 : 1
HEBC Hamburg
11 May
Sasel
3 : 3
Rugenbergen
26 Apr
SC Victoria Hamburg
5 : 0
Rugenbergen
21 Apr
Rugenbergen
3 : 0
Tornesch
14 Apr
Rugenbergen
0 : 3
Altona
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Paloma

(Away)
14 Aug
SC Victoria Hamburg
1 : 5
Paloma
02 Aug
Paloma
1 : 2
Vorwarts-Wacker
24 Jul
HT 16
2 : 3
Paloma
04 Jul
Todesfelde
2 : 1
Paloma
15 May
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
0 : 6
Paloma
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altona 34 25 7 2 91:29 82
2 Dassendorf 34 24 5 5 96:36 77
3 ETSV Hamburg 34 18 9 7 74:43 63
4 Niendorfer TSV 34 18 8 8 86:51 62
5 HEBC Hamburg 34 16 11 7 75:52 59
6 Sasel 34 16 8 10 76:54 56
7 Paloma 34 14 8 12 58:56 50
8 SC Victoria Hamburg 34 14 7 13 79:67 49
9 Suderelbe 34 13 9 12 85:61 48
10 TSV Buchholz 08 34 13 7 14 65:65 46
11 Harksheide 34 12 10 12 61:63 46
12 Halstenbek-Rellingen 34 11 9 14 70:70 42
13 TSV Concordia 34 11 6 17 71:91 39
14 Alsterbruder 34 10 4 20 70:91 34
15 Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 34 9 5 20 57:82 32
16 Rugenbergen 34 9 3 22 46:84 30
17 Tornesch 34 6 6 22 43:106 24
18 Duneberg 34 5 2 27 39:141 17
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 (Play Offs)