Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rugenbergen vs Tornesch

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Haase P.
17' Event
Stannis M.
64' Event
Haase P.

AI Match Summary

Rugenbergen in this Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rugenbergen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Rugenbergen
20%
Draws
30%
Tornesch
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rugenbergen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Rugenbergen have won more games recently than Tornesch.
  • Model gives Rugenbergen a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Rugenbergen Clean Sheet 12%
Tornesch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rugenbergen Tornesch
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 3 4
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 1.33 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.43 3.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Rugenbergen vs Tornesch
3:0
Oct 22, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Tornesch vs Rugenbergen
2:3
Feb 26, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Tornesch vs Rugenbergen
2:1
Sep 18, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
Rugenbergen vs Tornesch
1:6
Apr 10, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
Rugenbergen vs Tornesch
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rugenbergen Compare

Top Goalscorer Haase P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stannis M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Tornesch Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rugenbergen 83 / 100
Tornesch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rugenbergen Tornesch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RUG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tornesch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Rugenbergen's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Rugenbergen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rugenbergen VS Tornesch
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rugenbergen

(Home)
17 May
Rugenbergen
1 : 1
HEBC Hamburg
11 May
Sasel
3 : 3
Rugenbergen
26 Apr
SC Victoria Hamburg
5 : 0
Rugenbergen
21 Apr
Rugenbergen
3 : 0
Tornesch
14 Apr
Rugenbergen
0 : 3
Altona
Page 1 of 6

Tornesch

(Away)
28 Jun
Tornesch
0 : 5
Eintracht Norderstedt
21 Jan
Tornesch
1 : 6
Eintracht Norderstedt
17 May
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
7 : 0
Tornesch
12 May
Tornesch
4 : 3
Alsterbruder
28 Apr
Sasel
4 : 0
Tornesch
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altona 34 25 7 2 91:29 82
2 Dassendorf 34 24 5 5 96:36 77
3 ETSV Hamburg 34 18 9 7 74:43 63
4 Niendorfer TSV 34 18 8 8 86:51 62
5 HEBC Hamburg 34 16 11 7 75:52 59
6 Sasel 34 16 8 10 76:54 56
7 Paloma 34 14 8 12 58:56 50
8 SC Victoria Hamburg 34 14 7 13 79:67 49
9 Suderelbe 34 13 9 12 85:61 48
10 TSV Buchholz 08 34 13 7 14 65:65 46
11 Harksheide 34 12 10 12 61:63 46
12 Halstenbek-Rellingen 34 11 9 14 70:70 42
13 TSV Concordia 34 11 6 17 71:91 39
14 Alsterbruder 34 10 4 20 70:91 34
15 Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 34 9 5 20 57:82 32
16 Rugenbergen 34 9 3 22 46:84 30
17 Tornesch 34 6 6 22 43:106 24
18 Duneberg 34 5 2 27 39:141 17
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 (Play Offs)