Sport Picks

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Rukh Lviv vs Karpaty Lviv

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League 2025/2026 Arena Lviv, Lviv
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Roman V.
4'
Fedyk I.
25'
Lyakh R.

AI Match Summary

Karpaty Lviv in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karpaty Lviv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Rukh Lviv
6%
Draws
90%
Karpaty Lviv
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Karpaty Lviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Karpaty Lviv lately — more wins on the board than Rukh Lviv.
  • Model gives Karpaty Lviv a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Rukh Lviv Clean Sheet 17%
Karpaty Lviv Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rukh Lviv Karpaty Lviv
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.86 1
Goals Conceded 1.86 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.86 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Premier League
Rukh Lviv vs Karpaty Lviv
0:3
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League
Karpaty Lviv vs Rukh Lviv
0:0
Apr 19, 2025 Premier League
Karpaty Lviv vs Rukh Lviv
3:1
Oct 29, 2024 Ukrainian Cup
Rukh Lviv vs Karpaty Lviv
1:0
Oct 21, 2024 Premier League
Rukh Lviv vs Karpaty Lviv
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rukh Lviv Compare

Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.43

Karpaty Lviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Kostenko Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chachua A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rukh Lviv 10 / 100
Karpaty Lviv 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rukh Lviv Karpaty Lviv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rukh Lviv's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Karpaty Lviv let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Rukh Lviv went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rukh Lviv VS Karpaty Lviv
0.86 Goals Scored 1
1.86 Goals Conceded 1
86% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rukh Lviv

(Home)
22 Jul
Bukovyna
2 : 1
Rukh Lviv
18 Jul
S. Rzeszow
2 : 2
Rukh Lviv
24 May
Polissya Zhytomyr
2 : 0
Rukh Lviv
17 May
Rukh Lviv
1 : 3
Oleksandriya
14 May
Kudrivka
2 : 1
Rukh Lviv
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Karpaty Lviv

(Away)
18 Jul
Karpaty Lviv
4 : 0
Zeljeznicar
17 Jul
Lok. Zagreb
0 : 0
Karpaty Lviv
11 Jul
Bravo
0 : 1
Karpaty Lviv
09 Jul
CFR Cluj
1 : 0
Karpaty Lviv
03 Jul
Karpaty Lviv
2 : 1
Nyva Ternopil
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shakhtar30226271:2172
2LNZ Cherkasy30186639:1760
3Polissya Zhytomyr30185751:2159
4Dynamo Kyiv30176766:3657
5FC Kharkiv301312536:1951
6Kolos Kovalivka301310730:2549
7Kryvbas30139853:4648
8Zorya301210842:3646
9Karpaty Lviv301011940:3141
10Epitsentr30881436:4532
11Veres Rivne307101326:4031
12Obolon307101328:4931
13Kudrivka30771632:4828
14Rukh Lviv30632120:5121
15Oleksandriya30381924:5817
16SC Poltava30272123:7413
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Main)