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Rukh Lviv vs Nyva Vinnytsya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rukh Lviv host Nyva Vinnytsya in the Druha Liga. Nyva Vinnytsya go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Rukh Lviv at 0.97 goals for, 2.03 against; Nyva Vinnytsya at 1.52 for, 0.97 against. Head-to-head, Rukh Lviv have won 2 to Nyva Vinnytsya's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.81, favoring Nyva Vinnytsya. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Rukh Lviv
15%
Draws
85%
Nyva Vinnytsya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nyva Vinnytsya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nyva Vinnytsya lately — more wins on the board than Rukh Lviv.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Nyva Vinnytsya taking it.
  • Regular Druha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Rukh Lviv Clean Sheet 11%
Nyva Vinnytsya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rukh Lviv Nyva Vinnytsya
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 2 15
Draws 3 7
Losses 24 7
Goals Scored 0.97 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.03 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Ukrainian Cup
Nyva Vinnytsya vs Rukh Lviv
3:2
Aug 1, 2026 Druha Liga
Nyva Vinnytsya vs Rukh Lviv
2:1
Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Rukh Lviv vs Nyva Vinnytsya
5:0
May 8, 2017 Druha Liga
Nyva Vinnytsya vs Rukh Lviv
2:0
Oct 1, 2016 Druha Liga
Rukh Lviv vs Nyva Vinnytsya
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rukh Lviv 10 / 100
Nyva Vinnytsya 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rukh Lviv Nyva Vinnytsya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nyva Vinnytsya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Nyva Vinnytsya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

Rukh Lviv scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Difficult form: Nyva Vinnytsya registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rukh Lviv VS Nyva Vinnytsya
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rukh Lviv

(Home)
04 Oct
Rukh Lviv
2 : 3
Bratslav Vinnytsia
27 Sept
FC Vilkhivtsi
2 : 1
Rukh Lviv
20 Sept
Rukh Lviv
2 : 3
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
14 Sept
Nyva Ternopil 2
1 : 0
Rukh Lviv
05 Sept
Skala 1911
1 : 0
Rukh Lviv
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Nyva Vinnytsya

(Away)
03 Oct
Skala 1911
2 : 2
Nyva Vinnytsya
26 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
2 : 0
Dnister Zalishchyky
19 Sept
Dinaz Vyshgorod
0 : 1
Nyva Vinnytsya
10 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
0 : 1
Dynamo Kyiv
04 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
4 : 1
Nyva Ternopil 2
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bratslav Vinnytsia 8 6 2 0 20:7 20
2 Nyva Vinnytsya 8 4 3 1 14:8 15
3 Dnister Zalishchyky 8 4 2 2 16:13 14
4 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 8 4 1 3 15:14 13
5 FC Vilkhivtsi 8 3 2 3 11:13 11
6 Nyva Ternopil 2 8 3 0 5 8:15 9
7 Skala 1911 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
8 Dinaz Vyshgorod 8 1 4 3 12:18 7
9 Rukh Lviv 8 1 0 7 13:16 3
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karbon Cherkasy 8 4 3 1 13:9 15
2 Lozova 8 4 1 3 9:9 13
3 Atlet Kiev 8 3 3 2 16:12 12
4 SC Poltava 2 8 3 2 3 5:6 11
5 Rebel Kyiv 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
6 Oleksandriya 2 8 2 4 2 8:7 10
7 Trostyanets 7 2 4 1 8:5 10
8 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 7 1 3 3 8:10 6
9 Penuel Kryvyi Rih 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)