Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rumilly Vallieres vs Frejus Saint Raphael

France France

National 2 - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Alexandre J.
38' Event
Abdeldjelil O.
54' Event
Fortier M.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 game between Rumilly Vallieres and Frejus Saint Raphael finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Frejus Saint Raphael.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Rumilly Vallieres
15%
Draws
42%
Frejus Saint Raphael
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rumilly Vallieres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rumilly Vallieres come out ahead of Frejus Saint Raphael on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Rumilly Vallieres's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Rumilly Vallieres Clean Sheet 68%
Frejus Saint Raphael Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rumilly Vallieres Frejus Saint Raphael
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.74 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Rumilly Vallieres vs Frejus Saint Raphael
1:3
Dec 6, 2025 National 1 - Group C
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Rumilly Vallieres
1:3
Apr 19, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Rumilly Vallieres
3:1
Dec 7, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Rumilly Vallieres vs Frejus Saint Raphael
1:0
Apr 23, 2022 National 1 - Group C
Rumilly Vallieres vs Frejus Saint Raphael
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rumilly Vallieres Compare

Top Goalscorer Fortier M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Frejus Saint Raphael Compare

Top Goalscorer Alexandre J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Abdeldjelil O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rumilly Vallieres 68 / 100
Frejus Saint Raphael 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rumilly Vallieres Frejus Saint Raphael

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rumilly Vallieres Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rumilly Vallieres scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Frejus Saint Raphael has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Difficult form: Frejus Saint Raphael registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rumilly Vallieres VS Frejus Saint Raphael
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rumilly Vallieres

(Home)
19 Sept
Touraine
1 : 0
Rumilly Vallieres
12 Sept
Rumilly Vallieres
0 : 3
Hyeres
05 Sept
Hauts Lyonnais
2 : 1
Rumilly Vallieres
29 Aug
Rumilly Vallieres
3 : 0
Troyes II
22 Aug
Lyon - La Duchere
1 : 7
Rumilly Vallieres
Page 1 of 7

Frejus Saint Raphael

(Away)
19 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 4
GOAL FC
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
05 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 0
Andrezieux
29 Aug
Nimes
3 : 0
Frejus Saint Raphael
22 Aug
Frejus Saint Raphael
3 : 0
Saint Priest
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cannes 30 17 9 4 53:30 60
2 Nimes 30 18 5 7 46:25 59
3 St. Maur Lusitanos 30 15 10 5 40:24 55
4 Rumilly Vallieres 30 13 8 9 49:36 47
5 Hyeres 30 11 12 7 36:27 45
6 Andrezieux 30 12 9 9 48:33 45
7 Istres 30 11 10 9 42:32 43
8 Creteil 30 12 7 11 36:34 43
9 GOAL FC 30 11 8 11 38:46 40
10 RC Grasse 30 9 9 12 41:42 36
11 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 9 8 13 37:50 35
12 Limonest 30 9 7 14 36:49 34
13 FC Bobigny 93 30 7 11 12 29:31 32
14 Toulon 30 8 10 12 38:47 31
15 Saint Priest 30 7 9 14 35:50 30
16 Rousset Ste Victoire 30 2 6 22 28:76 12
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)