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Runar vs Arendal

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2012 game between Runar and Arendal finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arendal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Runar
15%
Draws
78%
Arendal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arendal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Runar haven't matched Arendal's recent run of results.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Arendal taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Runar Clean Sheet 20%
Arendal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Runar Arendal
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.81 1.78
Goals Conceded 3.53 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2012 Division 3 - Group 5
Runar vs Arendal
1:6
May 15, 2012 Division 3 - Group 5
Arendal vs Runar
10:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Runar 10 / 100
Arendal 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Runar Arendal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arendal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arendal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 8.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Runar scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Runar went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arendal
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Runar

(Home)
22 Apr
Runar
0 : 6
Stabaek
25 Oct
Runar
1 : 3
Tollnes
18 Oct
Donn
6 : 1
Runar
10 Oct
Runar
1 : 3
Tonsberg
30 Sept
Runar
1 : 1
Larvik Turn
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Arendal

(Away)
22 Aug
Froland
1 : 5
Arendal
15 Aug
Vidar
1 : 3
Arendal
08 Aug
Arendal
2 : 1
Pors
02 Aug
Sotra
3 : 0
Arendal
25 Jul
Arendal
4 : 0
Vidar
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