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Rushall vs Gainsborough

England England

NPL Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Preston F.
75' Event
Moore A.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Rushall and Gainsborough finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Rushall
30%
Draws
23%
Gainsborough
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rushall

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Rushall carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Rushall taking it.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Rushall Clean Sheet 68%
Gainsborough Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rushall Gainsborough
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.39 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Rushall vs Gainsborough
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs Rushall
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 FA Cup
Gainsborough vs Rushall
2:1
Dec 7, 2024 FA Trophy
Gainsborough vs Rushall
2:1
Sep 21, 2019 FA Cup
Rushall vs Gainsborough
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rushall Compare

Top Goalscorer Moore A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Gainsborough Compare

Top Goalscorer Preston F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rushall 59 / 100
Gainsborough 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rushall Gainsborough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rushall found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Gainsborough's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Rushall stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rushall VS Gainsborough
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rushall

(Home)
08 Aug
Rushall
2 : 1
Hitchin
01 Aug
Malvern Town
1 : 2
Rushall
25 Jul
Shifnal Town
1 : 2
Rushall
21 Jul
Boldmere St Michaels
2 : 2
Rushall
25 Apr
Hebburn Town
2 : 0
Rushall
Page 1 of 6

Gainsborough

(Away)
08 Aug
Gainsborough
2 : 0
Workington
01 Aug
Gainsborough
0 : 2
Bradford PA
25 Jul
Gainsborough
0 : 0
Doncaster
21 Jul
Gainsborough
2 : 3
Halifax
18 Jul
Basford Utd.
1 : 1
Gainsborough
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hebburn Town 40 23 10 7 75:41 79
2 Hednesford 40 22 11 7 62:35 77
3 United of Manchester 40 21 9 10 65:41 72
4 Warrington Rylands 40 18 13 9 59:42 67
5 Stockton 40 18 12 10 62:50 63
6 Lancaster 40 17 11 12 56:45 62
7 Gainsborough 40 16 11 13 50:45 59
8 Leek Town 40 17 7 16 50:52 58
9 Cleethorpes 40 14 13 13 56:47 55
10 Ashton United 40 14 11 15 47:54 53
11 Ilkeston 40 15 7 18 52:54 52
12 Bamber Bridge 40 14 8 18 52:52 50
13 Guiseley 40 13 9 18 46:56 48
14 Warrington Town 40 12 12 16 43:63 48
15 Hyde 40 11 14 15 58:63 47
16 Rushall 40 12 11 17 48:61 47
17 Whitby 40 10 13 17 43:55 43
18 Workington 40 10 13 17 43:58 43
19 Prescot Cables 40 9 15 16 40:50 42
20 Morpeth 40 12 6 22 38:54 42
21 Stocksbridge 40 8 12 20 38:65 36
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)