Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Russia U18 vs Lithuania U18

World World

Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Agalarov G.
68'
Raulinaitis D.
68'
Raulinaitis D.

AI Match Summary

Russia U18 in this Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2018 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Russia U18
20%
Draws
32%
Lithuania U18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Russia U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Russia U18 have won more games recently than Lithuania U18.
  • Model gives Russia U18 a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Russia U18 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lithuania U18, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Russia U18 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Russia U18 Clean Sheet 17%
Lithuania U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Russia U18 Lithuania U18
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 10
Draws 1 4
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 2.03 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2018 Valentin Granatkin Memorial
Russia U18 vs Lithuania U18
2:0
Sep 2, 2018 Valentin Granatkin Memorial
Russia U18 vs Lithuania U18
0:2
Jan 5, 2015 Valentin Granatkin Memorial
Lithuania U18 vs Russia U18
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Russia U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Agalarov G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khalnazarov R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Lithuania U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Russia U18 84 / 100
Lithuania U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Russia U18 Lithuania U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Russia U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Russia U18 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Lithuania U18 conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Russia U18 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Russia U18 VS Lithuania U18
2 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Russia U18

(Home)
28 Sept
Serbia U18
0 : 2
Russia U18
25 Sept
Serbia U18
3 : 2
Russia U18
15 Nov
Russia U18
1 : 0
Jordan U20
13 Nov
Russia U18
6 : 1
Jordan U20
24 Mar
Uzbekistan U18
1 : 2
Russia U18
Page 1 of 6

Lithuania U18

(Away)
23 Mar
Malta U18
0 : 1
Lithuania U18
21 Mar
Malta U18
2 : 2
Lithuania U18
18 Jun
Lithuania U18
2 : 1
Estonia U18
17 Nov
Lithuania U18
1 : 1
Finland U18
16 Nov
Lithuania U18
0 : 2
Finland U18
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Zenit St Petersburg U18 2
Russia U18 0
Lithuania U18 0
Turkey U18 1
Final
Zenit St Petersburg U18 3
Turkey U18 0
Russia U18 2
Lithuania U18 0