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Friendly International Bellis Deluxe Stadium

Uzbekistan U23

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Russia U21 play Uzbekistan U23 in the Friendly International. It looks like a close match. Recently, Russia U21 averaged 2.63 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Uzbekistan U23 averaged 1.79 goals scored and 0.85 conceded. In past meetings, Russia U21 won 1, Uzbekistan U23 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 27, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Russia U21 and 1.19 for Uzbekistan U23. This points to a Russia U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%

Russia U21

16%

Draws

35%

Uzbekistan U23

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Russia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Russia U21 picked up more points recently compared to Uzbekistan U23.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Russia U21 Clean Sheet 20%

Uzbekistan U23 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Russia U21	Uzbekistan U23
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	20	18
Draws	4	6
Losses	6	9
Goals Scored	2.63	1.79
Goals Conceded	1.2	0.85
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Friendly International

Russia U21 vs Uzbekistan U23

Possession: 56% - 53% Cards: 3 - 0

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Russia U21 48 / 100

Uzbekistan U23 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Russia U21 Uzbekistan U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Russia U21 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19.6%

2.44

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Russia U21 attacking → ← attacking Uzbekistan U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Russia U21 scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Uzbekistan U23 let in goals in 58% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Russia U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Uzbekistan U23 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

64 Points in last 5 60

2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38