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Stadium Background

Russia vs Iran

World World

Friendly International 2025 Volgograd Arena, Volgograd
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Vorobyev D.
Assist: Miranchuk An.
39'
Bakaev Z.
48' Event
Hosseinzadeh A.
Assist: Ghoddos S.

AI Match Summary

Russia in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Russia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Russia
35%
Draws
24%
Iran
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Russia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Russia have won more games recently than Iran.
  • Win probability leans Russia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Russia Clean Sheet 68%
Iran Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Russia Iran
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 16 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 2.85 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.58 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2025 Friendly International
Russia vs Iran
2:1
Mar 23, 2023 Friendly International
Iran vs Russia
1:1
Nov 10, 2022 Friendly International
Iran vs Russia
0:0
Oct 10, 2017 Friendly International
Russia vs Iran
1:1
Feb 9, 2011 Friendly International
Iran vs Russia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Russia Compare

Top Goalscorer Vorobyev D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Batrakov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Iran Compare

Top Goalscorer Hosseinzadeh A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Russia 95 / 100
Iran 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Russia Iran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Russia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Russia scored in 85% of their last 26 games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Russia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Iran conceded in 56% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Russia VS Iran
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Russia

(Home)
09 Jun
Russia
3 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
05 Jun
Russia
3 : 0
Burkina Faso
28 May
Egypt
1 : 0
Russia
31 Mar
Russia
0 : 0
Mali
27 Mar
Russia
3 : 1
Nicaragua
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Iran

(Away)
24 Sept
Uzbekistan
3 : 1
Iran
27 Jun
Egypt
1 : 1
Iran
21 Jun
Belgium
0 : 0
Iran
16 Jun
Iran
2 : 2
New Zealand
04 Jun
Iran
2 : 0
Mali
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