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Russia vs Nigeria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Sovcombank Arena, Nizhny Novgorod
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Iheanacho K.
Assist: Bewene A.
30' Event
Sadulaev L.
Assist: Kislyak M.
37'
Oblyakov I.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Russia and Nigeria finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Russia
30%
Draws
19%
Nigeria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Russia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Russia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Russia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Russia Clean Sheet 20%
Nigeria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Russia Nigeria
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 18 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 3 1.82
Goals Conceded 0.61 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Friendly International
Russia vs Nigeria
3:3
Jun 6, 2025 Friendly International
Russia vs Nigeria
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Russia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadulaev L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kislyak M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Nigeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Iheanacho K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Edokpolor P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Russia 85 / 100
Nigeria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Russia Nigeria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Russia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Russia scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Russia remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Nigeria let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Russia VS Nigeria
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Russia

(Home)
06 Oct
Russia
3 : 3
Nigeria
03 Oct
Russia
6 : 0
Namibia
29 Sept
Russia
2 : 0
Iran
09 Jun
Russia
3 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
05 Jun
Russia
3 : 0
Burkina Faso
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Nigeria

(Away)
06 Oct
Russia
3 : 3
Nigeria
29 Sept
Guinea Bissau
3 : 0
Nigeria
25 Sept
Nigeria
2 : 1
Madagascar
10 Jun
Portugal
2 : 1
Nigeria
03 Jun
Poland
2 : 2
Nigeria
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