Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Russia vs Peru

World World

Friendly International 2025 Gazprom Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Golovin A.
Assist: Miranchuk Al.
26'
Umyarov N.
46'
Sub
Vakhania I. In: Beveev M.
Out: Vakhania I.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Russia and Peru finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Russia
6%
Draws
4%
Peru
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Russia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Russia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Russia a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Russia Clean Sheet 20%
Peru Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Russia Peru
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 1.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2025 Friendly International
Russia vs Peru
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Russia Compare

Top Goalscorer Golovin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Peru Compare

Top Goalscorer Valera A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Russia 85 / 100
Peru 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Russia Peru

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Russia's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Peru let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Russia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Russia VS Peru
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%