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Russia vs Syria

World World

Friendly International 2024 Volgograd Arena, Volgograd
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Osipenko M.
Assist: Fomin D.
53' Event
Samoshnikov I.
Assist: Miranchuk Al.
64'
Sub
Soldatenkov A. In: Morozov E.
Out: Soldatenkov A.

AI Match Summary

Russia in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Russia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Russia
30%
Draws
23%
Syria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Russia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Russia have won more games recently than Syria.
  • Win probability leans Russia's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Russia Clean Sheet 16%
Syria Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Russia Syria
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 2.75 1.71
Goals Conceded 0.57 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2024 Friendly International
Russia vs Syria
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Russia Compare

Top Goalscorer Osipenko M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Samoshnikov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Syria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Russia 66 / 100
Syria 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Russia Syria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Russia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Russia found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Russia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Syria has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Russia VS Syria
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Russia

(Home)
09 Jun
Russia
3 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
05 Jun
Russia
3 : 0
Burkina Faso
28 May
Egypt
1 : 0
Russia
31 Mar
Russia
0 : 0
Mali
27 Mar
Russia
3 : 1
Nicaragua
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Syria

(Away)
05 Jun
Belarus
4 : 1
Syria
31 Mar
Syria
5 : 1
Afghanistan
11 Dec
Morocco
1 : 0
Syria
07 Dec
Syria
0 : 0
Palestine
04 Dec
Syria
1 : 1
Qatar
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