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Russia vs Zambia

World World

Friendly International 2025 VTB Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Glushenkov M.
44' Event
Vakhania I.
53' Event
Glushenkov M.
Assist: Vakhania I.

AI Match Summary

Russia in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Russia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Russia
6%
Draws
4%
Zambia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Russia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Russia have won more games recently than Zambia.
  • Model gives Russia a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Russia Clean Sheet 20%
Zambia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Russia Zambia
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 17 8
Draws 8 4
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 1.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2025 Friendly International
Russia vs Zambia
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Russia Compare

Top Goalscorer Glushenkov M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Vakhania I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Zambia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Russia 85 / 100
Zambia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Russia Zambia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Russia scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Zambia let in goals in 65% of their last 26 matches.

Recent resilience: Russia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Russia VS Zambia
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%