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Russia vs Zambia Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2025 VTB Arena, Moscow
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Glushenkov M.
44' Event
Vakhania I.
53' Event
Glushenkov M.
Assist: Vakhania I.

AI Match Summary

Russia in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Russia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Russia
20%
Draws
23%
Zambia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Russia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Russia have won more games recently than Zambia.
  • Model gives Russia a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Russia Clean Sheet 20%
Zambia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Russia Zambia
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 17 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 2.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.54 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2025 Friendly International
Russia vs Zambia
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Russia Compare

Top Goalscorer Glushenkov M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Vakhania I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Zambia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Russia 85 / 100
Zambia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Russia Zambia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Russia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Russia scored in 85% of their last 26 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Zambia let in goals in 62% of their last 26 matches.

Recent resilience: Russia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Russia VS Zambia
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Russia

(Home)
29 Sept
Russia
2 : 0
Iran
09 Jun
Russia
3 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
05 Jun
Russia
3 : 0
Burkina Faso
28 May
Egypt
1 : 0
Russia
31 Mar
Russia
0 : 0
Mali
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Zambia

(Away)
29 Sept
Zambia
2 : 0
Togo
25 Sept
Algeria
3 : 1
Zambia
31 Mar
Argentina
5 : 0
Zambia
29 Dec
Zambia
0 : 3
Morocco
26 Dec
Zambia
0 : 0
Comoros
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