Sport Picks
Match Events
57'
57'
Evans J.
77'
77'
Edwards J.
90'
90'
McGonigle C.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Ruthin Town advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bangor 1876
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Bangor 1876 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Bangor 1876 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Bangor 1876 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ruthin Town, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ruthin Town Clean Sheet 10%
Bangor 1876 Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ruthin Town | Bangor 1876 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 19 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2025 Cymru North
Ruthin Town vs Bangor 1876
1:0
Nov 8, 2024 Cymru North
Bangor 1876 vs Ruthin Town
3:0
Jul 19, 2024 League Cup
Ruthin Town vs Bangor 1876
2:1
Mar 2, 2024 Cymru North
Bangor 1876 vs Ruthin Town
0:0
Sep 8, 2023 Cymru North
Ruthin Town vs Bangor 1876
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ruthin Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Evans J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Edwards J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Bangor 1876 Compare
Top Goalscorer McGonigle C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ruthin Town 10 / 100
Bangor 1876 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ruthin Town Bangor 1876
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bangor 1876 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Bangor 1876 conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
Ruthin Town's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Ruthin Town stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ruthin Town VS Bangor 1876
0.75 Goals Scored 2.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ruthin Town
(Home) 25 Sept
Ruthin Town
2 : 0 Penrhyncoch
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0 Ruthin Town
04 Sept
Ruthin Town
0 : 3 Caersws FC
31 Aug
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0 Ruthin Town
28 Aug
Ruthin Town
0 : 4 Mold Alexandra
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Ruthin Town
2 : 0 Penrhyncoch
04 Sept
Ruthin Town
0 : 3 Caersws FC
28 Aug
Ruthin Town
0 : 4 Mold Alexandra
14 Aug
Ruthin Town
2 : 1 Denbigh
31 Jul
Ruthin Town
1 : 2 Holyhead
Page 1 of 4
Bangor 1876
(Away) 25 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 6 Buckley
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5 Bangor 1876
05 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 2 Rhyl
31 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 1 Bangor 1876
28 Aug
Bangor 1876
2 : 1 Brickfield Rangers
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5 Bangor 1876
31 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 1 Bangor 1876
21 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 3 Bangor 1876
08 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 2 Bangor 1876
07 Mar
Flint Town
5 : 1 Bangor 1876
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Prestatyn 1
Buckley 5
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Colwyn Bay -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Llandudno FC 3
Newport 0
Penrhyncoch 0
Guilsfield 3
Cardiff U21 3
Afan Lido 1
TBD -
Pontypridd United -
Taffs Well 1
Merthyr Town 3
TBD -
Ammanford Town -
Llantwit Major 2
Newport City 0
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 1
Goytre Utd 4
Caerau Ely 2
Trefelin 1
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Trethomas Bluebirds 3
Baglan Dragons 2
Swansea U21 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Llanelli -
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
TBD -
Penybont -
Carmarthen Town 2
Cambrian United 1
TBD -
Haverfordwest -
Flint Mountain 0
Gresford 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Mold Alexandra 2
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
Flint Town -
Ruthin Town 2
Bangor 1876 1
TBD -
Bala -
Caersws FC 0
Holywell Town FC 1
Llay Welfare 3
Denbigh 1
1/16-finals
Buckley 0
Connahs Q. 3
Newtown 2
Caernarfon 3
Colwyn Bay 0
Aberystwyth 2
Llandudno FC 3
Guilsfield 2
Cardiff U21 3
Pontypridd United 1
Merthyr Town 2
Ammanford Town 0
Llantwit Major 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Goytre Utd 3
Caerau Ely 2
Trethomas Bluebirds 3
Baglan Dragons 1
Barry Town 2
Llanelli 1
Briton Ferry 0
Penybont 3
Carmarthen Town 0
Haverfordwest 5
Gresford 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 4
TNS 5
Flint Town 1
Ruthin Town 0
Bala 1
Holywell Town FC 3
Llay Welfare 1
1/8-finals
Connahs Q. 3
Caernarfon 2
Aberystwyth 3
Llandudno FC 2
Cardiff U21 2
Merthyr Town 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 9
Goytre Utd 1
Trethomas Bluebirds 1
Barry Town 4
Penybont 1
Haverfordwest 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
TNS 1
Bala 2
Holywell Town FC 0
Quarter-finals
Connahs Q. 1
Aberystwyth 2
Cardiff U21 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Barry Town 3
Penybont 2
TNS 3
Bala 1
Semi-finals
Aberystwyth 2
Cardiff U21 1
Barry Town 1
TNS 2
Final
Aberystwyth 0
TNS 1
