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Ruthin Town vs Caersws FC

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Jones A.
40' Event
Jones A.
46' Event
Morris J.

AI Match Summary

Caersws FC in this Cymru North matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caersws FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ruthin Town
15%
Draws
64%
Caersws FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caersws FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Caersws FC lately — more wins on the board than Ruthin Town.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Caersws FC taking it.
  • Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Caersws FC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ruthin Town Clean Sheet 10%
Caersws FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ruthin Town Caersws FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.23 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.06 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Cymru North
Ruthin Town vs Caersws FC
0:3
Jan 30, 2026 Cymru North
Ruthin Town vs Caersws FC
0:1
Dec 13, 2025 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Ruthin Town
5:1
Sep 28, 2024 Cymru North
Ruthin Town vs Caersws FC
1:1
Aug 10, 2024 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Ruthin Town
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ruthin Town Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Caersws FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Jones A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Morris J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ruthin Town 10 / 100
Caersws FC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ruthin Town Caersws FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caersws FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ruthin Town scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Caersws FC has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ruthin Town remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ruthin Town VS Caersws FC
1 Goals Scored 2.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ruthin Town

(Home)
25 Sept
Ruthin Town
2 : 0
Penrhyncoch
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0
Ruthin Town
04 Sept
Ruthin Town
0 : 3
Caersws FC
31 Aug
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Ruthin Town
28 Aug
Ruthin Town
0 : 4
Mold Alexandra
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Caersws FC

(Away)
12 Sept
Caersws FC
0 : 2
Brickfield Rangers
04 Sept
Ruthin Town
0 : 3
Caersws FC
31 Aug
Caersws FC
2 : 0
Buckley
28 Aug
Porthmadog
1 : 3
Caersws FC
15 Aug
Rhyl
4 : 2
Caersws FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 8 7 0 1 21:4 21
2 Newtown 7 6 1 0 16:1 19
3 Bala 8 6 0 2 15:10 18
4 Mold Alexandra 8 5 2 1 19:9 17
5 Bangor 1876 9 5 1 3 23:17 16
6 Porthmadog 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
7 Caersws FC 7 4 1 2 13:9 13
8 Buckley 9 3 2 4 21:16 11
9 Guilsfield 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
10 Llanuwchllyn 7 3 1 3 11:17 10
11 Rhyl 7 2 3 2 14:13 9
12 Denbigh 8 2 1 5 16:17 7
13 Ruthin Town 9 2 1 6 8:19 7
14 Holyhead 7 1 1 5 7:14 4
15 Gresford 7 0 1 6 2:20 1
16 Penrhyncoch 9 0 1 8 4:29 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)