Sport Picks
Ruthin Town vs Conwy Borough Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
Cymru North 2022/2023 
Match Events
54'
54'
Owen G.
(Penalty)
71'
71'
Jones S.
86'
86'
Morris O. L.
AI Match Summary
Ruthin Town in this Cymru North 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ruthin Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ruthin Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Conwy Borough at 1.28 per game, Ruthin Town at 1.17.
- Win probability leans Ruthin Town's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Ruthin Town here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ruthin Town Clean Sheet 16%
Conwy Borough Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ruthin Town | Conwy Borough |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 19 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 2.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 15, 2023 Cymru North
Ruthin Town vs Conwy Borough
4:0
Jul 30, 2022 Cymru North
Conwy Borough vs Ruthin Town
0:1
Apr 23, 2022 Cymru North
Conwy Borough vs Ruthin Town
1:3
Nov 19, 2021 Cymru North
Ruthin Town vs Conwy Borough
6:1
Dec 12, 2020 League Cup
Conwy Borough vs Ruthin Town
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ruthin Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Morris O. L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Jones S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Conwy Borough Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ruthin Town 39 / 100
Conwy Borough 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ruthin Town Conwy Borough
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ruthin Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Conwy Borough's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Attacking prowess: Ruthin Town scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Conwy Borough lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ruthin Town VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ruthin Town
(Home) 03 Oct
Buckley
1 : 1 Ruthin Town
25 Sept
Ruthin Town
2 : 0 Penrhyncoch
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0 Ruthin Town
04 Sept
Ruthin Town
0 : 3 Caersws FC
31 Aug
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0 Ruthin Town
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Ruthin Town
2 : 0 Penrhyncoch
04 Sept
Ruthin Town
0 : 3 Caersws FC
28 Aug
Ruthin Town
0 : 4 Mold Alexandra
14 Aug
Ruthin Town
2 : 1 Denbigh
31 Jul
Ruthin Town
1 : 2 Holyhead
Page 1 of 4
Conwy Borough
(Away) 22 Jun
Mold Alexandra
3 : 0 Conwy Borough
16 Sept
Llanrwst United
2 : 1 Conwy Borough
15 Apr
Ruthin Town
4 : 0 Conwy Borough
07 Apr
Conwy Borough
2 : 1 Holyhead
24 Mar
Llandudno FC
1 : 0 Conwy Borough
Page 1 of 6
22 Jun
Mold Alexandra
3 : 0 Conwy Borough
16 Sept
Llanrwst United
2 : 1 Conwy Borough
15 Apr
Ruthin Town
4 : 0 Conwy Borough
24 Mar
Llandudno FC
1 : 0 Conwy Borough
25 Feb
Colwyn Bay
5 : 0 Conwy Borough
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colwyn Bay | 30 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 101:24 | 83 |
| 2 | Holywell Town FC | 30 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 75:22 | 79 |
| 3 | Llandudno FC | 30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 70:23 | 66 |
| 4 | Guilsfield | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 58:37 | 57 |
| 5 | Ruthin Town | 30 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 48:44 | 51 |
| 6 | Prestatyn | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 66:50 | 46 |
| 7 | Cefn Druids | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 48:64 | 43 |
| 8 | Buckley | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 53:61 | 42 |
| 9 | Mold Alexandra | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 41:52 | 35 |
| 10 | Gresford | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 32:43 | 35 |
| 11 | Porthmadog | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 36:53 | 33 |
| 12 | Llanidloes Town | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 42:63 | 27 |
| 13 | Chirk AAA FC | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 32:49 | 26 |
| 14 | Conwy Borough | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 33:64 | 23 |
| 15 | Penrhyncoch | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 31:72 | 16 |
| 16 | Holyhead | 30 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 24:69 | 15 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2023/2024 (Main)
