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Ruthin Town vs Gresford

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Ozlu H.
29' Event
Holland D.
(Penalty)
88' Event
Forbes D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2025/2026 game between Ruthin Town and Gresford finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ruthin Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ruthin Town
15%
Draws
49%
Gresford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gresford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gresford come out ahead of Ruthin Town on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Cymru North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ruthin Town Clean Sheet 18%
Gresford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ruthin Town Gresford
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 7 11
Draws 5 3
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 1.22 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.09 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Cymru North
Ruthin Town vs Gresford
2:1
Aug 8, 2025 Cymru North
Gresford vs Ruthin Town
2:1
Jan 1, 2025 Cymru North
Gresford vs Ruthin Town
1:0
Sep 6, 2024 Cymru North
Ruthin Town vs Gresford
4:0
Mar 29, 2024 Cymru North
Gresford vs Ruthin Town
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ruthin Town Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Gresford Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozlu H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ruthin Town 36 / 100
Gresford 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ruthin Town Gresford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gresford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gresford conceded in 82% of 34 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Ruthin Town scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Away concern: Gresford has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ruthin Town VS Gresford
0.75 Goals Scored 0.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ruthin Town

(Home)
25 Sept
Ruthin Town
2 : 0
Penrhyncoch
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0
Ruthin Town
04 Sept
Ruthin Town
0 : 3
Caersws FC
31 Aug
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Ruthin Town
28 Aug
Ruthin Town
0 : 4
Mold Alexandra
Page 1 of 7

Gresford

(Away)
26 Sept
Gresford
3 : 1
Rhyl
12 Sept
Guilsfield
1 : 1
Gresford
06 Sept
Gresford
1 : 5
Mold Alexandra
31 Aug
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 0
Gresford
21 Aug
Bala
3 : 0
Gresford
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)