Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ruthin Town vs Penrhyncoch

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Fri, Sep 25, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ruthin Town host Penrhyncoch in the Cymru North. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Ruthin Town at 1.27 goals for, 2 against; Penrhyncoch at 1.42 for, 2.03 against. Past meetings favor Ruthin Town slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 31, 2025, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.88 - 1.81) back Penrhyncoch to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ruthin Town
20%
Draws
40%
Penrhyncoch
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Penrhyncoch have won more games recently than Ruthin Town.
  • Ruthin Town are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ruthin Town Clean Sheet 11%
Penrhyncoch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ruthin Town Penrhyncoch
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.27 1.42
Goals Conceded 2 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 31, 2025 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Ruthin Town
1:1
Aug 20, 2025 Cymru North
Ruthin Town vs Penrhyncoch
3:1
Jul 18, 2025 League Cup
Ruthin Town vs Penrhyncoch
1:0
Oct 12, 2024 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Ruthin Town
1:3
Aug 23, 2024 Cymru North
Ruthin Town vs Penrhyncoch
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ruthin Town 38 / 100
Penrhyncoch 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ruthin Town Penrhyncoch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ruthin Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penrhyncoch has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Ruthin Town's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Penrhyncoch's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ruthin Town VS Penrhyncoch
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ruthin Town

(Home)
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0
Ruthin Town
04 Sept
Ruthin Town
0 : 3
Caersws FC
31 Aug
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Ruthin Town
28 Aug
Ruthin Town
0 : 4
Mold Alexandra
22 Aug
Guilsfield
2 : 2
Ruthin Town
Page 1 of 7

Penrhyncoch

(Away)
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Bala
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5
Bangor 1876
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0
Penrhyncoch
31 Aug
Guilsfield
4 : 0
Penrhyncoch
28 Aug
Penrhyncoch
2 : 2
Denbigh
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 8 7 0 1 21:4 21
2 Newtown 7 6 1 0 16:1 19
3 Bala 8 6 0 2 15:10 18
4 Mold Alexandra 8 5 2 1 19:9 17
5 Bangor 1876 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
6 Porthmadog 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
7 Caersws FC 7 4 1 2 13:9 13
8 Guilsfield 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
9 Llanuwchllyn 7 3 1 3 11:17 10
10 Rhyl 7 2 3 2 14:13 9
11 Buckley 8 2 2 4 15:14 8
12 Denbigh 8 2 1 5 16:17 7
13 Holyhead 7 1 1 5 7:14 4
14 Ruthin Town 8 1 1 6 6:19 4
15 Gresford 7 0 1 6 2:20 1
16 Penrhyncoch 8 0 1 7 4:27 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)