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Ruthin Town vs Rhyl - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ruthin Town host Rhyl in the Cymru North. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Rhyl have shipped 1.78 goals a game lately, while Ruthin Town have conceded 1.94 and scored 1.21. Past meetings favor Rhyl slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.94) point toward Rhyl. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ruthin Town
30%
Draws
39%
Rhyl
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rhyl

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rhyl come out ahead of Ruthin Town on wins alone.
  • Rhyl are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ruthin Town Clean Sheet 10%
Rhyl Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ruthin Town Rhyl
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 9 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.21 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Cymru North
Rhyl vs Ruthin Town
3:2
Sep 5, 2025 Cymru North
Ruthin Town vs Rhyl
0:0
Jul 14, 2023 Club Friendly
Rhyl vs Ruthin Town
4:0
Oct 8, 2022 FAW Welsh Cup
Rhyl vs Ruthin Town
0:2
Jan 11, 2020 Cymru North
Ruthin Town vs Rhyl
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ruthin Town 26 / 100
Rhyl 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ruthin Town Rhyl

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rhyl Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rhyl's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Ruthin Town scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Ruthin Town remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ruthin Town VS Rhyl
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ruthin Town

(Home)
03 Oct
Buckley
1 : 1
Ruthin Town
25 Sept
Ruthin Town
2 : 0
Penrhyncoch
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0
Ruthin Town
04 Sept
Ruthin Town
0 : 3
Caersws FC
31 Aug
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Ruthin Town
Page 1 of 7

Rhyl

(Away)
03 Oct
Rhyl
2 : 3
Brickfield Rangers
26 Sept
Gresford
3 : 1
Rhyl
12 Sept
Rhyl
3 : 3
Buckley
05 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 2
Rhyl
31 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 3
Rhyl
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 10 9 0 1 26:6 27
2 Newtown 9 7 1 1 18:3 22
3 Mold Alexandra 10 6 2 2 24:13 20
4 Porthmadog 10 6 2 2 17:11 20
5 Bala 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
6 Caersws FC 9 5 2 2 21:14 17
7 Bangor 1876 10 5 1 4 23:18 16
8 Guilsfield 10 4 4 2 16:12 16
9 Buckley 10 3 3 4 22:17 12
10 Llanuwchllyn 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
11 Rhyl 9 2 3 4 17:19 9
12 Ruthin Town 10 2 2 6 9:20 8
13 Denbigh 10 2 1 7 18:23 7
14 Holyhead 9 2 1 6 11:18 7
15 Gresford 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
16 Penrhyncoch 10 0 1 9 4:30 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)