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Rutsiro vs Etincelles

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026
Rutsiro Logo

Rutsiro

0 - 0
FT
Etincelles Logo

Etincelles

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Rutsiro
15%
Draws
59%
Etincelles
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Etincelles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Etincelles lately — more wins on the board than Rutsiro.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Rutsiro Clean Sheet 21%
Etincelles Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rutsiro Etincelles
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 8
Draws 11 11
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.87 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Premier League
Rutsiro vs Etincelles
0:0
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
Etincelles vs Rutsiro
0:0
Feb 22, 2025 Premier League
Rutsiro vs Etincelles
0:1
Nov 6, 2024 Premier League
Etincelles vs Rutsiro
0:0
Jan 22, 2023 Premier League
Rutsiro vs Etincelles
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rutsiro 37 / 100
Etincelles 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rutsiro Etincelles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etincelles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etincelles's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Attacking prowess: Rutsiro scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 0.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Rutsiro stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rutsiro VS Etincelles
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rutsiro

(Home)
30 May
Rutsiro
0 : 2
Bugesera
22 May
Rutsiro
2 : 1
AS Kigali
17 May
APR
3 : 0
Rutsiro
10 May
Rutsiro
1 : 2
Amagaju
06 May
Rutsiro
0 : 0
Musanze
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Etincelles

(Away)
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4
Etincelles
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6
Gorilla
16 May
Marines
2 : 3
Etincelles
13 May
APR
3 : 1
Etincelles
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 AS Kigali 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)