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Rutsiro vs Marines

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Rutsiro and Marines finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rutsiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Rutsiro
22%
Draws
60%
Marines
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Marines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marines come out ahead of Rutsiro on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Marines taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Rutsiro Clean Sheet 20%
Marines Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rutsiro Marines
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 11 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Premier League
Rutsiro vs Marines
5:3
Oct 4, 2025 Premier League
Marines vs Rutsiro
2:0
May 20, 2025 Premier League
Rutsiro vs Marines
3:3
Dec 8, 2024 Premier League
Marines vs Rutsiro
1:1
Apr 22, 2023 Premier League
Marines vs Rutsiro
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rutsiro 20 / 100
Marines 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rutsiro Marines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Marines conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Rutsiro scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Rutsiro went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rutsiro VS Marines
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rutsiro

(Home)
30 May
Rutsiro
0 : 2
Bugesera
22 May
Rutsiro
2 : 1
AS Kigali
17 May
APR
3 : 0
Rutsiro
10 May
Rutsiro
1 : 2
Amagaju
06 May
Rutsiro
0 : 0
Musanze
Page 1 of 6

Marines

(Away)
30 May
Marines
3 : 2
Muhanga
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
16 May
Marines
2 : 3
Etincelles
09 May
Rayon Sport
2 : 1
Marines
06 May
Bugesera
0 : 4
Marines
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman34236574:2575
2APR341911450:2868
3Al-Merreikh341611741:2459
4Rayon Sport341414640:3056
5Kiyovu341314734:2153
6Police341216629:1952
7Mukura Victory Sports3412111136:3847
8Marines341291347:4345
9Bugesera341281434:3944
10Musanze3411101338:3743
11Gorilla3410101431:4240
12Gicumbi341081638:5438
13Etincelles347161132:4037
14AS Kigali348111527:3935
15Gasogi United348111529:4435
16Amagaju34981719:3835
17Muhanga34871925:4631
18Rutsiro346111730:4729
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)