Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rutsiro vs Muhazi United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Nizeyimana J. C.
29' Event
Shyaka P.
Own Goal
50' Event
Kyeyune M.

AI Match Summary

Muhazi United in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Muhazi United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Rutsiro
20%
Draws
40%
Muhazi United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Muhazi United have won more games recently than Rutsiro.
  • Win probability leans Rutsiro's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Muhazi United here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Rutsiro Clean Sheet 18%
Muhazi United Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rutsiro Muhazi United
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 11 9
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.84 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Premier League
Rutsiro vs Muhazi United
1:2
Oct 19, 2024 Premier League
Muhazi United vs Rutsiro
1:0
Mar 31, 2023 Premier League
Rutsiro vs Muhazi United
0:1
Sep 6, 2022 Premier League
Muhazi United vs Rutsiro
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rutsiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Nizeyimana J. C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Muhazi United Compare

Top Goalscorer Kyeyune M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rutsiro 36 / 100
Muhazi United 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rutsiro Muhazi United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Muhazi United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Muhazi United registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Rutsiro found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Rutsiro VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rutsiro

(Home)
30 May
Rutsiro
0 : 2
Bugesera
22 May
Rutsiro
2 : 1
Kigali FC
17 May
APR
3 : 0
Rutsiro
10 May
Rutsiro
1 : 2
Amagaju
06 May
Rutsiro
0 : 0
Musanze
Page 1 of 7

Muhazi United

(Away)
28 May
Amagaju
2 : 1
Muhazi United
24 May
Muhazi United
0 : 1
APR
17 May
Gasogi United
1 : 0
Muhazi United
11 May
Rutsiro
1 : 2
Muhazi United
01 May
Kiyovu
2 : 2
Muhazi United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APR 30 20 7 3 46:17 67
2 Rayon Sport 30 18 9 3 43:17 63
3 Kigali FC 30 14 7 9 32:27 49
4 Police 30 11 12 7 38:24 45
5 Mukura Victory Sports 30 10 11 9 23:27 41
6 Bugesera 30 10 10 10 37:30 40
7 Gorilla 30 11 7 12 27:25 40
8 Gasogi United 30 10 10 10 29:29 40
9 Rutsiro 30 9 11 10 30:35 38
10 Kiyovu 30 11 4 15 32:51 37
11 Amagaju 30 10 6 14 29:38 36
12 Etincelles 30 7 13 10 25:27 34
13 Musanze 30 7 13 10 26:31 34
14 Marines 30 9 7 14 37:46 34
15 Muhazi United 30 7 9 14 22:29 30
16 Vision 30 5 6 19 23:46 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)