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Rutsiro vs Police

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Rutsiro
35%
Draws
41%
Police
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Police

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Police have won more games recently than Rutsiro.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Police taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Rutsiro Clean Sheet 23%
Police Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rutsiro Police
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 11 16
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.87 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Premier League
Rutsiro vs Police
0:0
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League
Police vs Rutsiro
2:1
Feb 8, 2025 Premier League
Rutsiro vs Police
0:0
Nov 2, 2024 Premier League
Police vs Rutsiro
3:2
Apr 16, 2023 Premier League
Police vs Rutsiro
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rutsiro 29 / 100
Police 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rutsiro Police

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Police Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Rutsiro found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Police conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Rutsiro has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rutsiro VS Police
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rutsiro

(Home)
30 May
Rutsiro
0 : 2
Bugesera
22 May
Rutsiro
2 : 1
AS Kigali
17 May
APR
3 : 0
Rutsiro
10 May
Rutsiro
1 : 2
Amagaju
06 May
Rutsiro
0 : 0
Musanze
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Police

(Away)
28 May
Gasogi United
0 : 1
Police
24 May
Police
0 : 0
Kiyovu
16 May
Police
1 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
09 May
Musanze
0 : 0
Police
06 May
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 0
Police
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 AS Kigali 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)