Sport Picks

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Ruvu Shooting vs Kinondoni MC

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
John W.
Assist: Mwakinyuke M.
78' Event
Samson J.
Assist: Suleiman A.
85' Event
Nzigamasabo S.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023 game between Ruvu Shooting and Kinondoni MC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ruvu Shooting.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ruvu Shooting
15%
Draws
85%
Kinondoni MC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kinondoni MC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Kinondoni MC haven't matched Ruvu Shooting's recent run of results.
  • Ruvu Shooting are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Ruvu Shooting Clean Sheet 68%
Kinondoni MC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ruvu Shooting Kinondoni MC
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 5 3
Draws 5 6
Losses 20 26
Goals Scored 0.63 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ruvu Shooting vs Kinondoni MC
2:1
Oct 7, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kinondoni MC vs Ruvu Shooting
0:0
May 16, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ruvu Shooting vs Kinondoni MC
1:1
Dec 28, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kinondoni MC vs Ruvu Shooting
1:1
Mar 11, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kinondoni MC vs Ruvu Shooting
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ruvu Shooting Compare

Top Goalscorer John W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Samson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Kinondoni MC Compare

Top Goalscorer Nzigamasabo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ruvu Shooting 50 / 100
Kinondoni MC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ruvu Shooting Kinondoni MC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ruvu Shooting Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kinondoni MC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 35 matches.

Away concern: Kinondoni MC has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Ruvu Shooting scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kinondoni MC
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ruvu Shooting

(Home)
09 Jun
Ruvu Shooting
0 : 1
Dodoma Jiji
06 Jun
Fountain Gate
2 : 1
Ruvu Shooting
12 May
Simba
3 : 0
Ruvu Shooting
22 Apr
Ruvu Shooting
1 : 3
Azam
09 Apr
Tanzania Prisons
3 : 1
Ruvu Shooting
Page 1 of 6

Kinondoni MC

(Away)
30 Jun
Simba
1 : 0
Kinondoni MC
27 Jun
Mashujaa
2 : 0
Kinondoni MC
24 Jun
Kinondoni MC
2 : 3
Namungo
15 Jun
Kinondoni MC
1 : 3
Coastal Union
12 Jun
Kinondoni MC
0 : 1
TRA United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 25 3 2 61:18 78
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 75:17 73
3 Azam 30 18 5 7 55:29 59
4 Fountain Gate 30 16 7 7 35:26 55
5 Namungo 30 11 7 12 29:33 40
6 Singida Black Stars 30 12 3 15 31:32 39
7 Geita Gold 30 9 10 11 35:44 37
8 Tanzania Prisons 30 10 7 13 29:38 37
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 11 4 15 26:37 37
10 Mtibwa Sugar 30 9 8 13 34:45 35
11 Kagera Sugar 30 9 8 13 23:36 35
12 Coastal Union 30 8 9 13 25:35 33
13 Kinondoni MC 30 8 8 14 25:31 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 10 13 34:44 31
15 Polisi Tanzania 30 6 7 17 25:54 25
16 Ruvu Shooting 30 5 5 20 19:42 20
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023 (Relegation)