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Ruvu Shooting vs Mbao

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Naftari G.
54' Event
Naftari G.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 game between Ruvu Shooting and Mbao finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ruvu Shooting.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ruvu Shooting
15%
Draws
85%
Mbao
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mbao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ruvu Shooting haven't matched Mbao's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Mbao's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Ruvu Shooting Clean Sheet 19%
Mbao Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ruvu Shooting Mbao
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.68 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 29, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ruvu Shooting vs Mbao
2:0
Oct 19, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbao vs Ruvu Shooting
1:1
Feb 15, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbao vs Ruvu Shooting
1:0
Oct 1, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ruvu Shooting vs Mbao
1:0
May 28, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbao vs Ruvu Shooting
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ruvu Shooting Compare

Top Goalscorer Naftari G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Mbao Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ruvu Shooting 10 / 100
Mbao 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ruvu Shooting Mbao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mbao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mbao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Ruvu Shooting scored in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Mbao's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ruvu Shooting VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ruvu Shooting

(Home)
09 Jun
Ruvu Shooting
0 : 1
Dodoma Jiji
06 Jun
Fountain Gate
2 : 1
Ruvu Shooting
12 May
Simba
3 : 0
Ruvu Shooting
22 Apr
Ruvu Shooting
1 : 3
Azam
09 Apr
Tanzania Prisons
3 : 1
Ruvu Shooting
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Mbao

(Away)
01 Aug
Mbao
4 : 2
Singida Black Stars
29 Jul
Singida Black Stars
2 : 0
Mbao
26 Jul
Mbao
2 : 0
Ndanda
22 Jul
Mbao
3 : 0
Namungo
19 Jul
JKT Tanzania
1 : 1
Mbao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 38 27 7 4 78:21 88
2 Young Africans 38 19 15 4 45:28 72
3 Azam 38 20 10 8 52:26 70
4 Namungo 38 17 13 8 46:37 64
5 Polisi Tanzania 38 15 10 13 37:35 55
6 JKT Tanzania 38 13 15 10 34:32 54
7 Coastal Union 38 14 11 13 33:30 53
8 Kagera Sugar 38 15 7 16 44:41 52
9 Biashara Mara United 38 12 14 12 29:27 50
10 Tanzania Prisons 38 10 19 9 35:30 49
11 Mwadui 38 12 11 15 39:45 47
12 Ruvu Shooting 38 12 11 15 34:42 47
13 Kinondoni MC 38 13 7 18 35:47 46
14 Mtibwa Sugar 38 11 12 15 30:34 45
15 Mbeya City 38 12 9 17 33:42 45
16 Mbao 38 12 9 17 33:43 45
17 Alliance 38 11 12 15 36:48 45
18 Lipuli 38 12 8 18 43:51 44
19 Ndanda 38 9 14 15 28:35 41
20 Singida United 38 4 6 28 23:73 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)