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Ruvu Shooting vs Namungo

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Buswita P.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023 game between Ruvu Shooting and Namungo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Namungo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ruvu Shooting
15%
Draws
85%
Namungo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Namungo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Namungo come out ahead of Ruvu Shooting on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Namungo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Ruvu Shooting Clean Sheet 26%
Namungo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ruvu Shooting Namungo
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 5 8
Draws 5 12
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 0.63 0.78
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 24, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ruvu Shooting vs Namungo
0:1
Sep 11, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Ruvu Shooting
1:0
Apr 18, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Ruvu Shooting
3:1
Dec 3, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ruvu Shooting vs Namungo
1:2
Jul 15, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ruvu Shooting vs Namungo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ruvu Shooting Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Namungo Compare

Top Goalscorer Buswita P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ruvu Shooting 33 / 100
Namungo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ruvu Shooting Namungo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Namungo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Namungo conceded in 69% of 36 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Difficult form: Namungo registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Ruvu Shooting scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Namungo
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ruvu Shooting

(Home)
09 Jun
Ruvu Shooting
0 : 1
Dodoma Jiji
06 Jun
Fountain Gate
2 : 1
Ruvu Shooting
12 May
Simba
3 : 0
Ruvu Shooting
22 Apr
Ruvu Shooting
1 : 3
Azam
09 Apr
Tanzania Prisons
3 : 1
Ruvu Shooting
Page 1 of 6

Namungo

(Away)
11 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Namungo
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2
Namungo
29 Aug
JKT Tanzania
2 : 1
Namungo
25 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0
Fountain Gate
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 25 3 2 61:18 78
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 75:17 73
3 Azam 30 18 5 7 55:29 59
4 Fountain Gate 30 16 7 7 35:26 55
5 Namungo 30 11 7 12 29:33 40
6 Singida Black Stars 30 12 3 15 31:32 39
7 Geita Gold 30 9 10 11 35:44 37
8 Tanzania Prisons 30 10 7 13 29:38 37
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 11 4 15 26:37 37
10 Mtibwa Sugar 30 9 8 13 34:45 35
11 Kagera Sugar 30 9 8 13 23:36 35
12 Coastal Union 30 8 9 13 25:35 33
13 Kinondoni MC 30 8 8 14 25:31 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 10 13 34:44 31
15 Polisi Tanzania 30 6 7 17 25:54 25
16 Ruvu Shooting 30 5 5 20 19:42 20
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023 (Relegation)