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RW Essen vs Fortuna Koln - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

3. Liga Stadion an der Hafenstrasse, Essen
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

RW Essen host Fortuna Koln in the 3. Liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Fortuna Koln have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while RW Essen have conceded 1.63 and scored 2.4. Head-to-head, RW Essen have won 3 to Fortuna Koln's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 12, 2025, ending 5:0. xG projections (1.44 - 1.25) back RW Essen to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
RW Essen
35%
Draws
27%
Fortuna Koln
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: RW Essen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Fortuna Koln haven't matched RW Essen's recent run of results.
  • RW Essen are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular 3. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
RW Essen Clean Sheet 19%
Fortuna Koln Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RW Essen Fortuna Koln
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 16
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 2.4 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
RW Essen vs Fortuna Koln
5:0
Mar 16, 2022 Regionalliga West
Fortuna Koln vs RW Essen
3:3
Aug 29, 2021 Regionalliga West
RW Essen vs Fortuna Koln
2:1
Mar 7, 2021 Regionalliga West
RW Essen vs Fortuna Koln
2:0
Oct 10, 2020 Regionalliga West
Fortuna Koln vs RW Essen
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RW Essen 67 / 100
Fortuna Koln 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RW Essen Fortuna Koln

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RW Essen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RW Essen found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

RW Essen has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Fortuna Koln conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

RW Essen VS Fortuna Koln
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

RW Essen

(Home)
03 Oct
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
RW Essen
20 Sept
RW Essen
1 : 1
Hansa Rostock
16 Sept
Mannheim
1 : 2
RW Essen
12 Sept
RW Essen
6 : 2
Wurzburger Kickers
05 Sept
RW Essen
1 : 0
FC Viktoria Koln
Page 1 of 6

Fortuna Koln

(Away)
25 Sept
TSV Havelse
1 : 3
Fortuna Koln
16 Sept
Fortuna Koln
0 : 2
Wehen
13 Sept
Hoffenheim II
2 : 2
Fortuna Koln
06 Sept
Fortuna Koln
0 : 0
Dusseldorf
29 Aug
Verl
1 : 2
Fortuna Koln
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Duisburg 7 6 0 1 19:7 18
2 FC Viktoria Koln 7 5 0 2 19:9 15
3 RW Essen 7 4 2 1 13:9 14
4 Saarbrucken 7 4 1 2 19:12 13
5 Hoffenheim II 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
6 Hansa Rostock 7 3 3 1 15:15 12
7 Alemannia Aachen 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
8 Preussen Munster 7 3 2 2 12:13 11
9 Mannheim 7 3 1 3 11:10 10
10 Dusseldorf 7 3 1 3 6:7 10
11 Verl 7 3 1 3 10:13 10
12 Fortuna Koln 7 2 3 2 8:8 9
13 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
14 Ingolstadt 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
15 VfB Stuttgart II 7 2 1 4 12:15 7
16 Wurzburger Kickers 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
17 Meppen 7 2 0 5 8:15 6
18 Regensburg 7 1 2 4 13:17 5
19 Wehen 7 1 2 4 5:13 5
20 TSV Havelse 7 1 1 5 10:15 4
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)