Sport Picks

Stadium Background

RW Essen vs Greuther Furth

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 Stadion an der Hafenstrasse
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Rios Alonso J.
17'
Hrgota B.
26'
Dehm J.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between RW Essen and Greuther Furth finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RW Essen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
RW Essen
6%
Draws
4%
Greuther Furth
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: RW Essen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • RW Essen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on RW Essen taking it.
  • Regular 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
RW Essen Clean Sheet 11%
Greuther Furth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RW Essen Greuther Furth
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Greuther Furth vs RW Essen
2:0
May 22, 2026 2. Bundesliga
RW Essen vs Greuther Furth
1:0
May 6, 2007 2. Bundesliga
Greuther Furth vs RW Essen
0:2
Dec 1, 2006 2. Bundesliga
RW Essen vs Greuther Furth
1:0
May 8, 2005 2. Bundesliga
RW Essen vs Greuther Furth
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RW Essen Compare

Top Goalscorer Musel T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Greuther Furth Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RW Essen 83 / 100
Greuther Furth 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RW Essen Greuther Furth

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RWE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: RW Essen scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Greuther Furth conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: RW Essen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RW Essen VS Greuther Furth
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Greuther Furth2
RW Essen1