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Stadium Background

RW Essen vs Hansa Rostock - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

3. Liga Stadion an der Hafenstrasse, Essen
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Brumme L.
24'
Dajaku L.
30'
Kolle N.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Liga game between RW Essen and Hansa Rostock finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
RW Essen
35%
Draws
27%
Hansa Rostock
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: RW Essen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • RW Essen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives RW Essen a 38% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
RW Essen Clean Sheet 16%
Hansa Rostock Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RW Essen Hansa Rostock
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 17 14
Draws 3 7
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 2.36 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 3. Liga
RW Essen vs Hansa Rostock
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 3. Liga
Hansa Rostock vs RW Essen
3:2
Sep 20, 2025 3. Liga
RW Essen vs Hansa Rostock
3:0
Apr 6, 2025 3. Liga
RW Essen vs Hansa Rostock
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 3. Liga
Hansa Rostock vs RW Essen
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RW Essen Compare

Top Goalscorer Telalovic S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Hansa Rostock Compare

Top Goalscorer Krauss M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RW Essen 84 / 100
Hansa Rostock 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RW Essen Hansa Rostock

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RW Essen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RW Essen found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: RW Essen stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Hansa Rostock has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

RW Essen VS Hansa Rostock
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

RW Essen

(Home)
03 Oct
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
RW Essen
20 Sept
RW Essen
1 : 1
Hansa Rostock
16 Sept
Mannheim
1 : 2
RW Essen
12 Sept
RW Essen
6 : 2
Wurzburger Kickers
05 Sept
RW Essen
1 : 0
FC Viktoria Koln
Page 1 of 6

Hansa Rostock

(Away)
20 Sept
RW Essen
1 : 1
Hansa Rostock
16 Sept
Hansa Rostock
3 : 2
VfB Stuttgart II
11 Sept
FC Viktoria Koln
4 : 0
Hansa Rostock
05 Sept
Hansa Rostock
1 : 1
Wehen
30 Aug
Saarbrucken
2 : 4
Hansa Rostock
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Duisburg 7 6 0 1 19:7 18
2 FC Viktoria Koln 7 5 0 2 19:9 15
3 RW Essen 7 4 2 1 13:9 14
4 Saarbrucken 7 4 1 2 19:12 13
5 Hoffenheim II 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
6 Hansa Rostock 7 3 3 1 15:15 12
7 Alemannia Aachen 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
8 Preussen Munster 7 3 2 2 12:13 11
9 Mannheim 7 3 1 3 11:10 10
10 Dusseldorf 7 3 1 3 6:7 10
11 Verl 7 3 1 3 10:13 10
12 Fortuna Koln 7 2 3 2 8:8 9
13 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
14 Ingolstadt 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
15 VfB Stuttgart II 7 2 1 4 12:15 7
16 Wurzburger Kickers 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
17 Meppen 7 2 0 5 8:15 6
18 Regensburg 7 1 2 4 13:17 5
19 Wehen 7 1 2 4 5:13 5
20 TSV Havelse 7 1 1 5 10:15 4
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)