Sport Picks

Germany

DFB Pokal Stadion an der Hafenstrasse, Essen

RW Essen

2 - 0

St. Pauli

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Pyrka A.

36'

Janssen M.

Assist: Obuz M.

44'

Menzel T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

RW Essen

35%

Draws

20%

St. Pauli

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: RW Essen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to RW Essen lately — more wins on the board than St. Pauli.
Model gives RW Essen a 45% chance of winning this.
RW Essen have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor RW Essen, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors RW Essen here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

RW Essen Clean Sheet 17%

St. Pauli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	RW Essen	St. Pauli
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	18	8
Draws	2	8
Losses	9	13
Goals Scored	2.31	1.31
Goals Conceded	1.55	1.79
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 DFB Pokal

RW Essen vs St. Pauli

2:0

May 6, 2006 Regionalliga North

RW Essen vs St. Pauli

2:0

Nov 5, 2005 Regionalliga North

St. Pauli vs RW Essen

3:0

Mar 27, 2004 Regionalliga North

RW Essen vs St. Pauli

1:0

Sep 13, 2003 Regionalliga North

St. Pauli vs RW Essen

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RW Essen Compare

Top Goalscorer Janssen M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Telalovic S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

St. Pauli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RW Essen 84 / 100

St. Pauli 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

RW Essen St. Pauli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RW Essen Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RW Essen's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

St. Pauli let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: RW Essen stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

RW Essen VS St. Pauli

1.63 Goals Scored 1.25

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88

63% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

RW Essen

(Home)

20 Sept

RW Essen

1 : 1

Hansa Rostock

16 Sept

Mannheim

1 : 2

RW Essen

12 Sept

RW Essen

6 : 2

Wurzburger Kickers

05 Sept

RW Essen

1 : 0

FC Viktoria Koln

29 Aug

Wehen

0 : 0

RW Essen

Page 1 of 6

St. Pauli

(Away)

20 Sept

Energie Cottbus

1 : 1

St. Pauli

12 Sept

St. Pauli

1 : 0

Wolfsburg

04 Sept

Arminia Bielefeld

2 : 2

St. Pauli

30 Aug

St. Pauli

1 : 2

Kaiserslautern

23 Aug

RW Essen

2 : 0

St. Pauli

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/32-finals

Sonnenhof Grossaspach 3

Arminia Bielefeld 2

Energie Cottbus 0

Augsburg 2

Jeddeloh 5

Heidenheim 2

Saarbrucken 1

Hertha Berlin 2

RW Essen 2

St. Pauli 0

Eintracht Trier 0

RB Leipzig 6

Wurzburger Kickers 1

1. FC Koln 2

Braunschweig 2

Union Berlin 4

Westfalia Rhynern 0

Dresden 6

Hallescher 2

Schalke 5

HEBC Hamburg 0

Dortmund 5

Luneburger Hansa 0

Werder Bremen 3

Greuther Furth 1

Bochum 2

Krieschow 0

Mainz 9

Verl 0

Hamburger 3

SC St.Tonis 0

Eintracht Frankfurt 11

Schott Mainz 0

B. Monchengladbach 5

Preussen Munster 1

Karlsruher 2

Munich 1860 0

Holstein Kiel 2

Aue 0

Hoffenheim 4

Wehen 0

Bayer Leverkusen 4

FC Viktoria Koln 1

Nurnberg 2

Hemelingen 1

Hannover 9

Mannheim 0

Kaiserslautern 1

Phonix Lubeck 2

Paderborn 4

Hansa Rostock 0

VfB Stuttgart 4

Dusseldorf 1

Freiburg 5

Altglienicke 3

Wolfsburg 4

Duisburg 1

Elversberg 3

Jena 1

Darmstadt 2

VfL Osnabruck 1

Bayern Munich 4

Bahlinger 0

Magdeburg 4

1/16-finals

Sonnenhof Grossaspach -

Augsburg -

Jeddeloh -

Hertha Berlin -

RW Essen -

RB Leipzig -

1. FC Koln -

Union Berlin -

Dresden -

Schalke -

Dortmund -

Werder Bremen -

Bochum -

Mainz -

Hamburger -

Eintracht Frankfurt -

B. Monchengladbach -

Karlsruher -

Holstein Kiel -

Hoffenheim -

Bayer Leverkusen -

Nurnberg -

Hannover -

Kaiserslautern -

Paderborn -

VfB Stuttgart -

Freiburg -

Wolfsburg -

Elversberg -

Darmstadt -

Bayern Munich -

Magdeburg -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

RW Essen vs St. Pauli

Germany

RW Essen

St. Pauli

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

RW Essen Compare

St. Pauli Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

RW Essen

St. Pauli

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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