Sport Picks

Stadium Background

RW Essen vs SW Essen

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Menzel T.
67' Event
Janssen M.
70' Event
Janssen M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between RW Essen and SW Essen finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RW Essen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
RW Essen
35%
Draws
20%
SW Essen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: RW Essen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and RW Essen come out ahead of SW Essen on wins alone.
  • Model gives RW Essen a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • RW Essen have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
RW Essen Clean Sheet 68%
SW Essen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RW Essen SW Essen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 9
Draws 2 4
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.31 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
RW Essen vs SW Essen
5:1
Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
SW Essen vs RW Essen
1:5
Jul 7, 2024 Club Friendly
SW Essen vs RW Essen
1:4
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
SW Essen vs RW Essen
2:5
Jul 3, 2022 Club Friendly
SW Essen vs RW Essen
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RW Essen Compare

Top Goalscorer Janssen M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Menzel T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

SW Essen Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzhelilov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RW Essen 95 / 100
SW Essen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RW Essen SW Essen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RW Essen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RW Essen found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

SW Essen has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

RW Essen has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

RW Essen VS SW Essen
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

RW Essen

(Home)
20 Sept
RW Essen
1 : 1
Hansa Rostock
16 Sept
Mannheim
1 : 2
RW Essen
12 Sept
RW Essen
6 : 2
Wurzburger Kickers
05 Sept
RW Essen
1 : 0
FC Viktoria Koln
29 Aug
Wehen
0 : 0
RW Essen
Page 1 of 6

SW Essen

(Away)
27 Sept
SW Essen
1 : 3
Juchen-Garzweiler
20 Sept
Solingen-Wald
3 : 2
SW Essen
13 Sept
SW Essen
1 : 1
Uerdingen
06 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 1
SW Essen
30 Aug
SW Essen
1 : 1
Sonsbeck
Page 1 of 6