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RW Essen vs SW Essen

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

RW Essen play SW Essen in the Club Friendly. RW Essen are favorites here. Recently, RW Essen averaged 2.38 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. SW Essen averaged 1.59 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. In past meetings, RW Essen won 5, SW Essen won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 5, 2025 ended 1:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for RW Essen and 1.75 for SW Essen. This points to a RW Essen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
RW Essen
15%
Draws
28%
SW Essen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RW Essen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • RW Essen picked up more points recently compared to SW Essen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
RW Essen Clean Sheet 12%
SW Essen Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RW Essen SW Essen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2.38 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
SW Essen vs RW Essen
1:5
Jul 7, 2024 Club Friendly
SW Essen vs RW Essen
1:4
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
SW Essen vs RW Essen
2:5
Jul 3, 2022 Club Friendly
SW Essen vs RW Essen
0:2
Aug 4, 2021 Club Friendly
SW Essen vs RW Essen
1:6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RW Essen 54 / 100
SW Essen 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RW Essen SW Essen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RW Essen Win (1)
Secondary Pick RW Essen & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

RW Essen attacking → ← attacking SW Essen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RW Essen scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

SW Essen let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

RW Essen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

SW Essen lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 34
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38