Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rwanda U20 vs Kenya U20

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Africa Cup of Nations U20 2019 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Rwanda U20
35%
Draws
19%
Kenya U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rwanda U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Kenya U20 have won more games recently than Rwanda U20.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Rwanda U20 taking it.
  • Kenya U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Rwanda U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Kenya U20 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rwanda U20 Kenya U20
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 6 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.84 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2024 CECAFA Championship U20
Rwanda U20 vs Kenya U20
0:0
Apr 21, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Rwanda U20 vs Kenya U20
0:0
Apr 1, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Kenya U20 vs Rwanda U20
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rwanda U20 50 / 100
Kenya U20 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rwanda U20 Kenya U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rwanda U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kenya U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Rwanda U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Kenya U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Rwanda U20 scored in 48% of their last 25 games.

Scoring Trends

Rwanda U20 VS Kenya U20
0.83 Goals Scored 2.38
1.33 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
17% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rwanda U20

(Home)
17 Sept
Rwanda U20
0 : 0
Ethiopia U20
15 Sept
Tanzania U20
3 : 0
Rwanda U20
15 Oct
Rwanda U20
5 : 1
Djibouti U20
13 Oct
Tanzania U20
3 : 0
Rwanda U20
10 Oct
Rwanda U20
0 : 0
Kenya U20
Page 1 of 5

Kenya U20

(Away)
17 Sept
Burundi U20
2 : 0
Kenya U20
07 May
Nigeria U20
2 : 2
Kenya U20
04 May
Tunisia U20
3 : 1
Kenya U20
01 May
Kenya U20
2 : 3
Morocco U20
24 Apr
Ghana U20
2 : 2
Kenya U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mauritania U20 2
Morocco U20 1
TBD -
Guinea U20 -
Guinea-Bissau U20 1
Sierra Leone U20 0
TBD -
Nigeria U20 -
Ghana U20 -
TBD -
Tunisia U20 2
Algeria U20 5
Gambia U20 -
TBD -
Liberia U20 -
Benin U20 -
Burkina Faso U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Libya U20 -
Ivory Coast U20 -
TBD -
Togo U20 2
Gabon U20 5
Zambia U20 -
TBD -
Kenya U20 1
Rwanda U20 1
Sudan U20 -
TBD -
Ethiopia U20 0
Burundi U20 3
Cameroon U20 -
TBD -
South Sudan U20 1
Uganda U20 8
Tanzania U20 1
D.R. Congo U20 0
TBD -
Mali U20 -
South Africa U20 -
TBD -
Seychelles U20 0
Mozambique U20 6
Angola U20 -
TBD -
Eswatini U20 1
Malawi U20 1
Congo U20 -
TBD -
Namibia U20 1
Botswana U20 1
Egypt U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Senegal U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Mauritania U20 3
Guinea U20 3
Guinea-Bissau U20 2
Nigeria U20 3
Ghana U20 2
Algeria U20 0
Gambia U20 2
Benin U20 3
Burkina Faso U20 6
Libya U20 4
Ivory Coast U20 2
Gabon U20 3
Zambia U20 3
Rwanda U20 1
Sudan U20 1
Burundi U20 3
Cameroon U20 2
Uganda U20 1
Tanzania U20 2
Mali U20 6
South Africa U20 4
Mozambique U20 1
Angola U20 3
Malawi U20 5
Congo U20 4
Botswana U20 1
Egypt U20 0
Senegal U20 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 1
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Mauritania U20 1
Nigeria U20 6
Ghana U20 4
Benin U20 2
Burkina Faso U20 4
Gabon U20 1
Zambia U20 1
Burundi U20 3
Cameroon U20 1
Mali U20 4
South Africa U20 2
Malawi U20 0
Congo U20 3
Senegal U20 6
TBD -
TBD -