Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rwanda U23 vs Sudan U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Rwanda U23
35%
Draws
18%
Sudan U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rwanda U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sudan U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Rwanda U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Sudan U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rwanda U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Rwanda U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Sudan U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rwanda U23 Sudan U23
Matches Played 6 16
Wins 2 4
Draws 2 5
Losses 2 7
Goals Scored 1.5 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Sudan U23 vs Rwanda U23
1:1
Sep 30, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Rwanda U23 vs Sudan U23
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rwanda U23 95 / 100
Sudan U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rwanda U23 Sudan U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rwanda U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rwanda U23 scored in 83% of their last 6 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Rwanda U23 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Sudan U23 conceded in 56% of 16 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Rwanda U23 VS Sudan U23
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.13
83% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rwanda U23

(Home)
06 Oct
Sudan U23
1 : 1
Rwanda U23
30 Sept
Rwanda U23
3 : 0
Sudan U23
29 Oct
Mali U23
1 : 0
Rwanda U23
22 Oct
Rwanda U23
1 : 1
Mali U23
27 Sept
Rwanda U23
3 : 0
Libya U23
Page 1 of 2

Sudan U23

(Away)
06 Oct
Sudan U23
1 : 1
Rwanda U23
30 Sept
Rwanda U23
3 : 0
Sudan U23
25 Aug
Iraq U23
1 : 1
Sudan U23
28 Mar
Sudan U23
1 : 2
Niger U23
22 Mar
Niger U23
0 : 0
Sudan U23
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Burkina Faso U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
D.R. Congo U23 2
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Equatorial Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Niger U23 -
Togo U23 2
Libya U23 4
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Tunisia U23 2
Benin U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Kenya U23 5
Tanzania U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Djibouti U23 2
South Sudan U23 4
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Ethiopia U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Morocco U23 -
Rwanda U23 4
Sudan U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Madagascar U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Angola U23 6
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Congo U23 -
Seychelles U23 2
Botswana U23 4
TBD -
Guinea U23 -
Malawi U23 1
Eswatini U23 2
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Zimbabwe U23 6
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Semi-finals
Burkina Faso U23 -
Zambia U23 -
D.R. Congo U23 -
Nigeria U23 -
Equatorial Guinea U23 -
Niger U23 -
Libya U23 -
Ghana U23 -
Tunisia U23 -
Gabon U23 -
Kenya U23 -
Ivory Coast U23 -
South Sudan U23 -
Senegal U23 -
Ethiopia U23 -
Morocco U23 -
Rwanda U23 -
Cameroon U23 -
Madagascar U23 -
South Africa U23 -
Angola U23 -
Congo U23 -
Botswana U23 -
Guinea U23 -
Eswatini U23 -
Algeria U23 -
Zimbabwe U23 -
Mali U23 -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -