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Stadium Background

Rwanda vs Estonia

World World

FIFA Series Stade Amahoro, Kigali
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Biramahire A.
Assist: Mickels J.
31'
Biramahire A.
39'
Sub
Tovstik S. In: Saliste J.
Out: Tovstik S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Rwanda
15%
Draws
49%
Estonia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Rwanda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Rwanda a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Rwanda have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rwanda, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Rwanda Clean Sheet 68%
Estonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rwanda Estonia
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 0.93 0.97
Goals Conceded 1 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 FIFA Series
Rwanda vs Estonia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rwanda Compare

Top Goalscorer Biramahire A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mickels L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Estonia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rwanda 50 / 100
Estonia 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rwanda Estonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rwanda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estonia let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Rwanda went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rwanda's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Rwanda VS Estonia
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rwanda

(Home)
30 Mar
Rwanda
2 : 0
Estonia
27 Mar
Rwanda
4 : 0
Grenada
14 Oct
South Africa
3 : 0
Rwanda
10 Oct
Rwanda
0 : 1
Benin
09 Sept
Zimbabwe
0 : 1
Rwanda
Page 1 of 6

Estonia

(Away)
09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0
Lithuania
06 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0
Faroe Islands
30 Mar
Rwanda
2 : 0
Estonia
27 Mar
Kenya
1 : 2
Estonia
18 Nov
Cyprus
2 : 4
Estonia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Azerbaijan 6
Saint Lucia 1
Oman -
Sierra Leone -
Indonesia 4
Saint Kitts and Nevis 0
Solomon Islands 2
Bulgaria 10
Kazakhstan -
Comoros -
Kuwait -
Namibia -
United States Virgin Islands 5
American Samoa 2
Puerto Rico 4
Guam 0
Rwanda 4
Grenada 0
Kenya 1
Estonia 2
Aruba 4
Macau 1
Tanzania 0
Liechtenstein 1
Final
Azerbaijan 2
Sierra Leone 1
Indonesia 0
Bulgaria 1
TBD -
TBD -
United States Virgin Islands 0
Puerto Rico 2
Rwanda 2
Estonia 0
Aruba 4
Liechtenstein 1