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Rwanda W vs Burundi W

World World

Friendly International Women 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Suzanne Z.
15' Event
Uwase A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2023 game between Rwanda W and Burundi W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Rwanda W
20%
Draws
48%
Burundi W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Burundi W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Burundi W come out ahead of Rwanda W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Rwanda W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Burundi W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Rwanda W Clean Sheet 12%
Burundi W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rwanda W Burundi W
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 3 12
Draws 5 2
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.8 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2023 Friendly International Women
Rwanda W vs Burundi W
1:1
Sep 15, 2023 Friendly International Women
Rwanda W vs Burundi W
0:1
Jun 3, 2022 CECAFA Championship Women
Rwanda W vs Burundi W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rwanda W Compare

Top Goalscorer Uwase A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Burundi W Compare

Top Goalscorer Suzanne Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rwanda W 40 / 100
Burundi W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rwanda W Burundi W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burundi W has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Burundi W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Rwanda W scored in 57% of their last 23 games.

Scoring Trends

Rwanda W VS Burundi W
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rwanda W

(Home)
25 Feb
Egypt W
2 : 2
Rwanda W
21 Feb
Rwanda W
0 : 1
Egypt W
26 Sept
Ghana W
5 : 0
Rwanda W
20 Sept
Rwanda W
0 : 7
Ghana W
16 Sept
Rwanda W
1 : 1
Burundi W
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Burundi W

(Away)
21 Jun
Burundi W
1 : 3
South Sudan W
17 Jun
Tanzania W
6 : 0
Burundi W
15 Jun
Burundi W
0 : 3
Kenya W
13 Jun
Uganda W
0 : 1
Burundi W
26 Feb
Burkina Faso W
4 : 1
Burundi W
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