Sport Picks

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Rwanda W vs Djibouti W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women 2022
Tue, Oct 26, 2021
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Africa Cup of Nations Women 2022. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Djibouti W have shipped 5.25 goals a game lately, while Rwanda W have conceded 2.24 and scored 0.8. Past meetings favor Rwanda W slightly — 1-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 5, 2022, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 3.38 vs 1.75, favoring Rwanda W. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Rwanda W
20%
Draws
48%
Djibouti W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Djibouti W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Rwanda W at 0.8 per game, Djibouti W at 0.3.
  • Win probability leans Rwanda W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Rwanda W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Rwanda W Clean Sheet 12%
Djibouti W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rwanda W Djibouti W
Matches Played 25 20
Wins 3 3
Draws 5 0
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.8 0.3
Goals Conceded 2.24 5.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2022 CECAFA Championship Women
Rwanda W vs Djibouti W
2:0
Oct 26, 2021 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Rwanda W vs Djibouti W
0:0
Oct 20, 2021 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Djibouti W vs Rwanda W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rwanda W 38 / 100
Djibouti W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rwanda W Djibouti W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rwanda W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Djibouti W has conceded goals in 100% of their last 18 outings.

Djibouti W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Rwanda W scored in 57% of their last 23 outings.

Games between these two average 0.67 goals.

Scoring Trends

Rwanda W VS Djibouti W
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 5.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Rwanda W

(Home)
25 Feb
Egypt W
2 : 2
Rwanda W
21 Feb
Rwanda W
0 : 1
Egypt W
26 Sept
Ghana W
5 : 0
Rwanda W
20 Sept
Rwanda W
0 : 7
Ghana W
16 Sept
Rwanda W
1 : 1
Burundi W
Page 1 of 5

Djibouti W

(Away)
08 Jun
Djibouti W
0 : 1
Mauritius W
04 Jun
Mauritius W
2 : 1
Djibouti W
24 Oct
Djibouti W
4 : 1
Somalia W
26 Feb
Togo W
5 : 0
Djibouti W
21 Feb
Djibouti W
0 : 5
Togo W
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Uganda W 3
Ethiopia W 2
Kenya W 15
South Sudan W 1
Eritrea W 0
Burundi W 6
Djibouti W -
Rwanda W -
Malawi W 3
Zambia W 4
Tanzania W 3
Namibia W 5
Zimbabwe W 6
Eswatini W 1
Angola W 1
Botswana W 7
Mozambique W 0
South Africa W 13
Algeria W 14
Sudan W 0
Egypt W 2
Tunisia W 7
Equatorial Guinea W -
D.R. Congo W -
Sao Tome and Principe W 0
Togo W 5
Congo W 2
Gabon W 2
Central Africa W 0
Cameroon W 3
Sierra Leone W 1
Gambia W 3
Liberia W 1
Senegal W 8
Mali W 4
Guinea W 2
Guinea Bissau W 2
Mauritania W 0
Burkina Faso W 5
Benin W 2
Nigeria W 2
Ghana W 1
Niger W 0
Ivory Coast W 20
Final
Uganda W -
Kenya W -
Burundi W 11
Djibouti W 1
Zambia W 1
Namibia W 1
Zimbabwe W 3
Botswana W 3
South Africa W 3
Algeria W 1
Tunisia W 7
Equatorial Guinea W 3
Togo W 4
Gabon W 2
Cameroon W 10
Gambia W 1
Senegal W 2
Mali W 1
Guinea Bissau W 0
Burkina Faso W 7
Nigeria W 3
Ivory Coast W 0