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Rwanda W vs Ethiopia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Olympic Games Women
Rwanda W Logo

Rwanda W

0 - 1
FT
Ethiopia W Logo

Ethiopia W

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ethiopia W in this Olympic Games Women tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Rwanda W
15%
Draws
76%
Ethiopia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ethiopia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ethiopia W lately — more wins on the board than Rwanda W.
  • Win probability leans Ethiopia W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Ethiopia W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ethiopia W, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Rwanda W Clean Sheet 10%
Ethiopia W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rwanda W Ethiopia W
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 3 16
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.77 3.35
Goals Conceded 2.19 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2018 CECAFA Championship Women
Rwanda W vs Ethiopia W
0:3
Sep 14, 2016 CECAFA Championship Women
Rwanda W vs Ethiopia W
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rwanda W 10 / 100
Ethiopia W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rwanda W Ethiopia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethiopia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Rwanda W scored in 54% of their last 24 games.

Ethiopia W has conceded goals in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Rwanda W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rwanda W VS Ethiopia W
0.38 Goals Scored 2.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rwanda W

(Home)
07 Oct
Rwanda W
0 : 1
Ethiopia W
25 Feb
Egypt W
2 : 2
Rwanda W
21 Feb
Rwanda W
0 : 1
Egypt W
26 Sept
Ghana W
5 : 0
Rwanda W
20 Sept
Rwanda W
0 : 7
Ghana W
Page 1 of 6

Ethiopia W

(Away)
07 Oct
Rwanda W
0 : 1
Ethiopia W
03 Oct
Ethiopia W
10 : 0
Seychelles W
30 Sept
Ethiopia W
16 : 0
Seychelles W
28 Oct
Ethiopia W
0 : 1
Tanzania W
22 Oct
Tanzania W
2 : 0
Ethiopia W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tunisia W -
TBD -
TBD -
Senegal W -
Benin W -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali W -
Congo W -
TBD -
TBD -
Morocco W -
Sudan W 0
Comoros W 30
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Guinea W -
TBD -
TBD -
Cameroon W -
D.R. Congo W -
TBD -
TBD -
Ivory Coast W -
Central Africa W -
TBD -
TBD -
Algeria W -
Burkina Faso W -
TBD -
TBD -
Equatorial Guinea W -
Rwanda W -
TBD -
TBD -
Ethiopia W -
Botswana W -
TBD -
TBD -
Tanzania W -
Angola W -
TBD -
TBD -
Namibia W -
South Sudan W 1
Madagascar W 2
TBD -
South Africa W -
Seychelles W -
TBD -
TBD -
Kenya W -
Malawi W -
TBD -
TBD -
Zimbabwe W -
Uganda W -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia W -
Mauritius W 3
Djibouti W 1
TBD -
Ghana W -
1/8-finals
Tunisia W -
Senegal W -
Benin W -
Mali W -
Congo W -
Morocco W -
Comoros W -
Nigeria W -
Guinea W -
Cameroon W -
D.R. Congo W -
Ivory Coast W -
Central Africa W -
Algeria W -
Burkina Faso W -
Equatorial Guinea W -
Rwanda W 0
Ethiopia W 1
Botswana W -
Tanzania W -
Angola W -
Namibia W -
Madagascar W -
South Africa W -
Seychelles W 0
Kenya W 3
Malawi W -
Zimbabwe W -
Uganda W 0
Zambia W 1
Mauritius W -
Ghana W -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
Morocco W -
TBD -
Cameroon W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -