Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rwenzori Lions vs Paidha Black Angels - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rwenzori Lions in this Big League matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rwenzori Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Rwenzori Lions
20%
Draws
56%
Paidha Black Angels
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paidha Black Angels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Rwenzori Lions haven't matched Paidha Black Angels's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Rwenzori Lions a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Rwenzori Lions Clean Sheet 20%
Paidha Black Angels Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rwenzori Lions Paidha Black Angels
Matches Played 8 29
Wins 2 18
Draws 2 4
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 0.75 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Big League
Rwenzori Lions vs Paidha Black Angels
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rwenzori Lions 42 / 100
Paidha Black Angels 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rwenzori Lions Paidha Black Angels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Solid form: Rwenzori Lions remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Rwenzori Lions scored in 38% of their last 8 games.

Defensive concern: Paidha Black Angels conceded in 45% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Rwenzori Lions VS Paidha Black Angels
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rwenzori Lions

(Home)
05 Nov
Young Elephant Academy
2 : 1
Rwenzori Lions
01 Nov
Rwenzori Lions
4 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
25 Oct
Onduparaka
1 : 0
Rwenzori Lions
18 Oct
Rwenzori Lions
0 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
13 Oct
Kaaro Karungi
0 : 0
Rwenzori Lions
Page 1 of 2

Paidha Black Angels

(Away)
01 Nov
Rwenzori Lions
4 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
25 Oct
Paidha Black Angels
2 : 0
Pakwach Young Stars
15 Oct
Paidha Black Angels
1 : 0
Iganga United
11 Oct
Onduparaka
1 : 2
Paidha Black Angels
04 Oct
Paidha Black Angels
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paidha Black Angels 6 5 0 1 8:5 15
2 Kiyinda Boys 6 4 1 1 9:3 13
3 Catda 6 4 0 2 8:2 12
4 SC Volcanoes 6 3 2 1 7:3 11
5 Young Elephant Academy 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
6 Calvary 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
7 Amus College FC 5 3 1 1 9:1 10
8 Rwenzori Lions 7 2 2 3 6:6 8
9 Pakwach Young Stars 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
10 Iganga United 7 1 1 5 3:7 4
11 Onduparaka 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
12 Kaaro Karungi 7 0 3 4 2:13 3
13 Buwambo United 5 0 2 3 2:10 2
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)