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Rwenzori Lions vs SC Volcanoes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rwenzori Lions host SC Volcanoes in the Big League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. SC Volcanoes have shipped 0.5 goals a game lately, while Rwenzori Lions have conceded 1.25 and scored 0.75. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (0.59 - 1.13) back SC Volcanoes to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Rwenzori Lions
35%
Draws
40%
SC Volcanoes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: SC Volcanoes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • SC Volcanoes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.4%
Rwenzori Lions Clean Sheet 20%
SC Volcanoes Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rwenzori Lions SC Volcanoes
Matches Played 8 6
Wins 2 3
Draws 2 2
Losses 4 1
Goals Scored 0.75 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.59 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rwenzori Lions 32 / 100
SC Volcanoes 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rwenzori Lions SC Volcanoes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rwenzori Lions has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Rwenzori Lions found the back of the net in 38% of recent matches (8 games).

SC Volcanoes has conceded goals in 33% of their last 6 outings.

Difficult form: SC Volcanoes registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rwenzori Lions VS SC Volcanoes
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.43
50% Over 1.5 43%
38% Over 2.5 14%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Rwenzori Lions

(Home)
05 Nov
Young Elephant Academy
2 : 1
Rwenzori Lions
01 Nov
Rwenzori Lions
4 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
25 Oct
Onduparaka
1 : 0
Rwenzori Lions
18 Oct
Rwenzori Lions
0 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
13 Oct
Kaaro Karungi
0 : 0
Rwenzori Lions
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SC Volcanoes

(Away)
05 Nov
Calvary
1 : 1
SC Volcanoes
01 Nov
SC Volcanoes
4 : 0
Onduparaka
25 Oct
Kiyinda Boys
2 : 0
SC Volcanoes
18 Oct
SC Volcanoes
0 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
11 Oct
Iganga United
0 : 1
SC Volcanoes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paidha Black Angels 6 5 0 1 8:5 15
2 Kiyinda Boys 6 4 1 1 9:3 13
3 Catda 6 4 0 2 8:2 12
4 SC Volcanoes 6 3 2 1 7:3 11
5 Young Elephant Academy 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
6 Calvary 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
7 Amus College FC 5 3 1 1 9:1 10
8 Rwenzori Lions 7 2 2 3 6:6 8
9 Pakwach Young Stars 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
10 Iganga United 7 1 1 5 3:7 4
11 Onduparaka 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
12 Kaaro Karungi 7 0 3 4 2:13 3
13 Buwambo United 5 0 2 3 2:10 2
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)