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Ryazan vs FC Oryol

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ryazan play FC Oryol in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ryazan averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. FC Oryol averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. In past meetings, Ryazan won 2, FC Oryol won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 1, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Ryazan and 1.00 for FC Oryol. This points to a Ryazan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ryazan
35%
Draws
29%
FC Oryol
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ryazan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Ryazan picked up more points recently compared to FC Oryol.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Ryazan Clean Sheet 23%
FC Oryol Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ryazan FC Oryol
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 10 11
Draws 14 9
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.29 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs FC Oryol
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Ryazan
2:2
Mar 29, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs FC Oryol
3:2
Sep 22, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs FC Oryol
3:0
Jun 7, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Ryazan
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ryazan Compare

Top Goalscorer Evgenjev E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

FC Oryol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ryazan 37 / 100
FC Oryol 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ryazan FC Oryol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ryazan or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ryazan attacking → ← attacking FC Oryol

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ryazan scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

FC Oryol let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Ryazan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FC Oryol lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 42
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75