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Ryazan vs Penza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Perfilov D.
38'
Vezikov A.
72' Event
Kotov A.

AI Match Summary

Ryazan in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ryazan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Ryazan
30%
Draws
12%
Penza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ryazan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ryazan lately — more wins on the board than Penza.
  • Ryazan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ryazan have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ryazan Clean Sheet 20%
Penza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ryazan Penza
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 9 4
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 1.7 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs Penza
2:0
Apr 11, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs Ryazan
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs Penza
2:1
May 24, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs Ryazan
0:1
Aug 4, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs Penza
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ryazan Compare

Top Goalscorer Perfilov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kotov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Penza Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ryazan 85 / 100
Penza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ryazan Penza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ryazan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Ryazan remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Ryazan scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Penza conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ryazan VS Penza
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ryazan

(Home)
30 Sept
Ryazan
2 : 0
Penza
26 Sept
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0 : 2
Ryazan
17 Sept
Ryazan
2 : 2
Saturn Ramenskoye
11 Sept
Ryazan
2 : 0
R. Volgograd 2
08 Sept
Ryazan
0 : 2
S. Kostroma
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Penza

(Away)
03 Oct
M. Lipetsk
2 : 0
Penza
30 Sept
Ryazan
2 : 0
Penza
26 Sept
Penza
1 : 1
Saturn Ramenskoye
19 Sept
Penza
0 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
13 Sept
Strogino Moscow
3 : 0
Penza
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