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Ryukyu vs SC Sagamihara

Japan Japan

J3 League Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium, Okinawa
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ryukyu host SC Sagamihara in the J3 League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. SC Sagamihara have shipped 1.66 goals a game lately, while Ryukyu have conceded 1.93 and scored 1.14. Head-to-head, Ryukyu have won 2 to SC Sagamihara's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 16, 2025, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.94 - 2.06) back SC Sagamihara to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ryukyu
15%
Draws
45%
SC Sagamihara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Sagamihara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • SC Sagamihara carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ryukyu's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ryukyu Clean Sheet 10%
SC Sagamihara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ryukyu SC Sagamihara
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 3 2
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2025 J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Ryukyu
4:1
Apr 5, 2025 J3 League
Ryukyu vs SC Sagamihara
2:0
Oct 12, 2024 J3 League
Ryukyu vs SC Sagamihara
2:1
Mar 17, 2024 J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Ryukyu
0:0
Aug 26, 2023 J3 League
Ryukyu vs SC Sagamihara
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ryukyu 34 / 100
SC Sagamihara 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ryukyu SC Sagamihara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ryukyu found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

SC Sagamihara has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ryukyu stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ryukyu VS SC Sagamihara
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ryukyu

(Home)
15 Aug
Renofa Yamaguchi
1 : 0
Ryukyu
17 Jul
Ryukyu
5 : 4
Urawa Reds
07 Jun
Fukushima United
2 : 1
Ryukyu
31 May
Imabari
1 : 2
Ryukyu
23 May
Sagan Tosu
2 : 3
Ryukyu
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SC Sagamihara

(Away)
15 Aug
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 4
SC Sagamihara
08 Aug
SC Sagamihara
0 : 0
Kumamoto
06 Jun
SC Sagamihara
3 : 0
Kumamoto
30 May
SC Sagamihara
4 : 3
Fujieda MYFC
23 May
Thespakusatsu Gunma
7 : 2
SC Sagamihara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gifu 2 2 0 0 10:0 6
2 Ehime 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
3 Kagoshima United 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
4 SC Sagamihara 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
5 FC Osaka 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
6 Tochigi SC 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
7 Kamatamare Sanuki 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
8 Kanazawa 2 1 0 1 6:6 3
9 Renofa Yamaguchi 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Nagano Parceiro 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
11 Reilac Shiga 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
12 Kumamoto 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
13 Giravanz Kitakyushu 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
14 Matsumoto Yamaga 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
15 Gainare Tottori 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
16 Kochi United 2 0 1 1 0:7 1
17 Ryukyu 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Fukushima United 2 0 0 2 4:6 0
19 Thespakusatsu Gunma 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
20 Nara Club 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)