Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ryukyu vs SC Sagamihara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium, Okinawa
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Teruuchi T.
23'
Tokida M.
42' Event
Tomidokoro Y.
Assist: Ihori K.

AI Match Summary

The J3 League game between Ryukyu and SC Sagamihara finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ryukyu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ryukyu
20%
Draws
57%
SC Sagamihara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SC Sagamihara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • SC Sagamihara carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans SC Sagamihara's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ryukyu Clean Sheet 16%
SC Sagamihara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ryukyu SC Sagamihara
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 15
Draws 2 3
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.18 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 J3 League
Ryukyu vs SC Sagamihara
2:1
Nov 16, 2025 J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Ryukyu
4:1
Apr 5, 2025 J3 League
Ryukyu vs SC Sagamihara
2:0
Oct 12, 2024 J3 League
Ryukyu vs SC Sagamihara
2:1
Mar 17, 2024 J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Ryukyu
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ryukyu Compare

Top Goalscorer Teruuchi T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tomidokoro Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

SC Sagamihara Compare

Top Goalscorer Sasaki K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ryukyu 19 / 100
SC Sagamihara 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ryukyu SC Sagamihara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Sagamihara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ryukyu found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

SC Sagamihara has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ryukyu stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ryukyu VS SC Sagamihara
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ryukyu

(Home)
10 Oct
Thespakusatsu Gunma
2 : 1
Ryukyu
03 Oct
Ryukyu
0 : 2
Kanazawa
26 Sept
Ryukyu
1 : 1
Ehime
20 Sept
Reilac Shiga
3 : 0
Ryukyu
13 Sept
Ryukyu
1 : 0
Kamatamare Sanuki
Page 1 of 6

SC Sagamihara

(Away)
09 Oct
SC Sagamihara
3 : 2
Kamatamare Sanuki
03 Oct
SC Sagamihara
1 : 0
FC Osaka
26 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 2
SC Sagamihara
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
13 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 3
SC Sagamihara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ehime 10 7 2 1 24:10 23
2 Kagoshima United 10 7 2 1 19:11 23
3 Renofa Yamaguchi 10 6 2 2 14:7 20
4 Nara Club 10 6 2 2 21:16 20
5 SC Sagamihara 10 5 3 2 18:12 18
6 FC Osaka 10 4 5 1 18:9 17
7 Gifu 10 5 1 4 20:10 16
8 Kanazawa 10 4 2 4 17:14 14
9 Kumamoto 10 3 5 2 7:6 14
10 Reilac Shiga 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
11 Nagano Parceiro 10 4 2 4 14:14 14
12 Gainare Tottori 10 4 1 5 12:19 13
13 Matsumoto Yamaga 10 2 5 3 9:11 11
14 Ryukyu 10 3 2 5 11:14 11
15 Tochigi SC 10 2 4 4 11:15 10
16 Giravanz Kitakyushu 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
17 Thespakusatsu Gunma 10 3 0 7 10:19 9
18 Fukushima United 10 2 2 6 20:25 8
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
20 Kochi United 10 1 2 7 4:23 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)