Sport Picks

Stadium Background

S. Agata vs AS Acireale

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
S. Agata Logo

S. Agata

1 - 1
FT
AS Acireale Logo

AS Acireale

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Bova F.
49' Event
Paglia D.
84'
Capogna P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 game between S. Agata and AS Acireale finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
S. Agata
35%
Draws
19%
AS Acireale
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: S. Agata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • AS Acireale have managed 1.12 goals a game lately — S. Agata are scoring more at 1.3.
  • Win probability leans S. Agata's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
S. Agata Clean Sheet 68%
AS Acireale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric S. Agata AS Acireale
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 7
Draws 9 13
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.3 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Serie D - Group I
AS Acireale vs S. Agata
2:2
Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs AS Acireale
1:1
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group I
AS Acireale vs S. Agata
0:2
Mar 3, 2024 Serie D - Group I
AS Acireale vs S. Agata
1:0
Oct 29, 2023 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs AS Acireale
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

S. Agata Compare

Top Goalscorer Bova F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

AS Acireale Compare

Top Goalscorer Paglia D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

S. Agata 59 / 100
AS Acireale 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
S. Agata AS Acireale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick S. Agata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Agata scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

AS Acireale let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: S. Agata stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS AS Acireale
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

S. Agata

(Home)
11 May
AS Acireale
2 : 2
S. Agata
04 May
Castrumfavara
0 : 2
S. Agata
27 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 3
Scafatese
17 Apr
Sancataldese
2 : 1
S. Agata
13 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 1
Pompei
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AS Acireale

(Away)
10 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
03 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
26 Apr
AS Acireale
0 : 0
USD Ragusa
19 Apr
Gelbison
2 : 1
AS Acireale
12 Apr
AS Acireale
0 : 0
Nissa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)