Sport Picks
S. Agata vs Castrovillari - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 
Match Events
26'
26'
Alagna F.
60'
60'
Saverino F.
81'
81'
Marcellino P.
AI Match Summary
S. Agata in this Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored S. Agata.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: S. Agata
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Castrovillari haven't matched S. Agata's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans S. Agata's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and S. Agata have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
S. Agata Clean Sheet 18%
Castrovillari Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | S. Agata | Castrovillari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 2 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 0.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.58 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 7, 2024 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Castrovillari
3:0
Sep 10, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Castrovillari vs S. Agata
0:2
Apr 6, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Castrovillari vs S. Agata
0:0
Nov 27, 2022 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Castrovillari
3:1
Feb 27, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Castrovillari vs S. Agata
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
S. Agata Compare
Top Goalscorer Alagna F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Saverino F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
Castrovillari Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
S. Agata 67 / 100
Castrovillari 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
S. Agata Castrovillari
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick S. Agata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
S. Agata found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).
Defensive concern: Castrovillari conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Recent resilience: S. Agata stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
S. Agata VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
S. Agata
(Home) 11 May
AS Acireale
2 : 2 S. Agata
04 May
Castrumfavara
0 : 2 S. Agata
27 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 3 Scafatese
17 Apr
Sancataldese
2 : 1 S. Agata
13 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 1 Pompei
Page 1 of 7
27 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 3 Scafatese
13 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 1 Pompei
30 Mar
S. Agata
1 : 1 Sambiase
09 Mar
S. Agata
2 : 3 Paterno
23 Feb
S. Agata
1 : 1 Licata
Page 1 of 3
Castrovillari
(Away) 05 May
Castrovillari
0 : 2 Nuova Gioiese
28 Apr
Licata
3 : 1 Castrovillari
21 Apr
Castrovillari
1 : 1 Portici 1906
14 Apr
Siracusa
3 : 1 Castrovillari
07 Apr
Castrovillari
2 : 1 San Luca
Page 1 of 6
28 Apr
Licata
3 : 1 Castrovillari
14 Apr
Siracusa
3 : 1 Castrovillari
17 Mar
Reggina
3 : 1 Castrovillari
03 Mar
Sancataldese
0 : 0 Castrovillari
18 Feb
Canicatti
4 : 2 Castrovillari
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trapani | 34 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 95:15 | 94 |
| 2 | Siracusa | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 79:26 | 81 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 67:29 | 72 |
| 4 | Reggina | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 54:25 | 65 |
| 5 | AS Acireale | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 39:41 | 54 |
| 6 | S. Agata | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 46:35 | 52 |
| 7 | Real Casalnuovo | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:49 | 51 |
| 8 | USD Ragusa | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:38 | 50 |
| 9 | Canicatti | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 55:51 | 48 |
| 10 | Igea Virtus | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 38:40 | 45 |
| 11 | Licata | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 43:54 | 43 |
| 12 | Akragas | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 42:53 | 42 |
| 13 | Sancataldese | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:43 | 37 |
| 14 | Portici 1906 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32:55 | 32 |
| 15 | San Luca | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 37:55 | 29 |
| 16 | Locri 1909 | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 34:68 | 28 |
| 17 | Castrovillari | 34 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 29:76 | 17 |
| 18 | Nuova Gioiese | 34 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 18:80 | 11 |
| 19 | Lamezia Terme | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)
